LEVERAGE SHARES (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.41

SPYE
 Stock
  

EUR 9.41  0.03  0.32%   

LEVERAGE SHARES's future price is the expected price of LEVERAGE SHARES instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LEVERAGE SHARES PUBLIC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Additionally, take a look at LEVERAGE SHARES Backtesting, LEVERAGE SHARES Valuation, LEVERAGE SHARES Correlation, LEVERAGE SHARES Hype Analysis, LEVERAGE SHARES Volatility, LEVERAGE SHARES History as well as LEVERAGE SHARES Performance. Please specify LEVERAGE SHARES time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like LEVERAGE SHARES odds to be computed.

LEVERAGE SHARES Target Price Odds to finish over 9.41

The tendency of LEVERAGE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.41 90 days 9.41 
about 59.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LEVERAGE SHARES to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 59.73 (This LEVERAGE SHARES PUBLIC probability density function shows the probability of LEVERAGE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LEVERAGE SHARES has a beta of 0.0596. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, LEVERAGE SHARES average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LEVERAGE SHARES PUBLIC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. LEVERAGE SHARES PUBLIC is significantly underperforming DOW.
   LEVERAGE SHARES Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LEVERAGE SHARES

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LEVERAGE SHARES PUBLIC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of LEVERAGE SHARES's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of LEVERAGE SHARES in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
5.949.4112.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
4.818.2811.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as LEVERAGE SHARES. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against LEVERAGE SHARES's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, LEVERAGE SHARES's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in LEVERAGE SHARES PUBLIC.

LEVERAGE SHARES Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LEVERAGE SHARES is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LEVERAGE SHARES's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LEVERAGE SHARES PUBLIC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LEVERAGE SHARES within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.22
β
Beta against DOW0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

LEVERAGE SHARES Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LEVERAGE SHARES for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LEVERAGE SHARES PUBLIC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LEVERAGE SHARES generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
LEVERAGE SHARES has high historical volatility and very poor performance

LEVERAGE SHARES Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LEVERAGE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LEVERAGE SHARES's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LEVERAGE SHARES's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day35
Average Daily Volume In Three Month15

LEVERAGE SHARES Technical Analysis

LEVERAGE SHARES's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LEVERAGE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LEVERAGE SHARES PUBLIC. In general, you should focus on analyzing LEVERAGE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LEVERAGE SHARES Predictive Forecast Models

LEVERAGE SHARES time-series forecasting models is one of many LEVERAGE SHARES's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary LEVERAGE SHARES's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LEVERAGE SHARES PUBLIC

Checking the ongoing alerts about LEVERAGE SHARES for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LEVERAGE SHARES PUBLIC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LEVERAGE SHARES generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
LEVERAGE SHARES has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Additionally, take a look at LEVERAGE SHARES Backtesting, LEVERAGE SHARES Valuation, LEVERAGE SHARES Correlation, LEVERAGE SHARES Hype Analysis, LEVERAGE SHARES Volatility, LEVERAGE SHARES History as well as LEVERAGE SHARES Performance. Note that the LEVERAGE SHARES PUBLIC information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other LEVERAGE SHARES's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Complementary Tools for LEVERAGE Stock analysis

When running LEVERAGE SHARES PUBLIC price analysis, check to measure LEVERAGE SHARES's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LEVERAGE SHARES is operating at the current time. Most of LEVERAGE SHARES's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LEVERAGE SHARES's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LEVERAGE SHARES's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LEVERAGE SHARES to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between LEVERAGE SHARES's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine LEVERAGE SHARES value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LEVERAGE SHARES's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.