Swissquote Group (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 136.6

SQN Stock  CHF 250.40  2.40  0.97%   
Swissquote Group's future price is the expected price of Swissquote Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Swissquote Group Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Swissquote Group Backtesting, Swissquote Group Valuation, Swissquote Group Correlation, Swissquote Group Hype Analysis, Swissquote Group Volatility, Swissquote Group History as well as Swissquote Group Performance.
  
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Swissquote Group Target Price Odds to finish over 136.6

The tendency of Swissquote Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above ₣ 136.60  in 90 days
 250.40 90 days 136.60 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swissquote Group to stay above ₣ 136.60  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Swissquote Group Holding probability density function shows the probability of Swissquote Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Swissquote Group Holding price to stay between ₣ 136.60  and its current price of ₣250.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.69 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Swissquote Group has a beta of 0.42. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Swissquote Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Swissquote Group Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Swissquote Group Holding has an alpha of 0.2154, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Swissquote Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Swissquote Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swissquote Group Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Swissquote Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
249.00250.40251.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
225.36284.31285.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
244.62246.02247.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
244.98248.27251.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Swissquote Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Swissquote Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Swissquote Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Swissquote Group Holding.

Swissquote Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swissquote Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swissquote Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Swissquote Group Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swissquote Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.22
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.42
σ
Overall volatility
14.24
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Swissquote Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Swissquote Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Swissquote Group Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Swissquote Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Swissquote Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Swissquote Group Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Swissquote to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Swissquote Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Swissquote Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Swissquote Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Swissquote Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swissquote Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.9 B

Swissquote Group Technical Analysis

Swissquote Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Swissquote Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Swissquote Group Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Swissquote Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Swissquote Group Predictive Forecast Models

Swissquote Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Swissquote Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Swissquote Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Swissquote Group Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Swissquote Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Swissquote Group Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Swissquote Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Swissquote Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Swissquote Group Holding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Swissquote to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Swissquote Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Swissquote Group Backtesting, Swissquote Group Valuation, Swissquote Group Correlation, Swissquote Group Hype Analysis, Swissquote Group Volatility, Swissquote Group History as well as Swissquote Group Performance.
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When running Swissquote Group's price analysis, check to measure Swissquote Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swissquote Group is operating at the current time. Most of Swissquote Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swissquote Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swissquote Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swissquote Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Swissquote Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Swissquote Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Swissquote Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.