Sit Small Cap Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 15.65

SSCDX Fund  USD 15.65  0.37  2.31%   
Sit Small's future price is the expected price of Sit Small instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sit Small Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sit Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Sit Small Correlation, Sit Small Hype Analysis, Sit Small Volatility, Sit Small History as well as Sit Small Performance.
  
Please specify Sit Small's target price for which you would like Sit Small odds to be computed.

Sit Small Target Price Odds to finish over 15.65

The tendency of Sit Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.65 90 days 15.65 
about 39.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sit Small to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 39.13 (This Sit Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Sit Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.19 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sit Small will likely underperform. Additionally Sit Small Cap has an alpha of 0.0503, implying that it can generate a 0.0503 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sit Small Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sit Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sit Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sit Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.7615.6316.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.1215.9916.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.7915.6716.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.6716.0916.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sit Small. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sit Small's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sit Small's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sit Small Cap.

Sit Small Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sit Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sit Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sit Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sit Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.58
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Sit Small Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sit Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sit Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.36% of its assets in stocks

Sit Small Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sit Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sit Small's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sit Small's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Sit Small Technical Analysis

Sit Small's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sit Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sit Small Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sit Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sit Small Predictive Forecast Models

Sit Small's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sit Small's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sit Small's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sit Small Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sit Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sit Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 97.36% of its assets in stocks
Check out Sit Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Sit Small Correlation, Sit Small Hype Analysis, Sit Small Volatility, Sit Small History as well as Sit Small Performance.
Note that the Sit Small Cap information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Sit Small's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sit Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sit Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sit Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.