Saratoga Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 7.72

SSCYX -  USA Fund  

USD 8.91  0.24  2.77%

Saratoga Small's future price is the expected price of Saratoga Small instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Saratoga Small Capitalization performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Saratoga Price Probability 

 
Refresh
Additionally, take a look at Saratoga Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Saratoga Small Correlation, Saratoga Small Hype Analysis, Saratoga Small Volatility, Saratoga Small History as well as Saratoga Small Performance. Please specify Saratoga Small time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Saratoga Small odds to be computed.
Apply Odds

Saratoga Small Target Price Odds to finish below 7.72

The tendency of Saratoga Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 7.72  or more in 90 days
 8.91 90 days 7.72  near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saratoga Small to drop to $ 7.72  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Saratoga Small Capitalization probability density function shows the probability of Saratoga Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Saratoga Small Capit price to stay between $ 7.72  and its current price of $8.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.54 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.25 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Saratoga Small will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.1107, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Saratoga Small Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Saratoga Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saratoga Small Capit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Saratoga Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Saratoga Small in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
7.668.9110.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8.239.4810.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.298.539.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.679.189.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Saratoga Small. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Saratoga Small's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Saratoga Small's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Saratoga Small Capit.

Saratoga Small Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saratoga Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saratoga Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saratoga Small Capitalization, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saratoga Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.11
β
Beta against DOW1.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.40
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Saratoga Small Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Saratoga Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Saratoga Small Capit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 96.57% of its assets in stocks

Saratoga Small Technical Analysis

Saratoga Small's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Saratoga Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Saratoga Small Capitalization. In general, you should focus on analyzing Saratoga Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Saratoga Small Predictive Forecast Models

Saratoga Small time-series forecasting models is one of many Saratoga Small's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Saratoga Small's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Saratoga Small Capit

Checking the ongoing alerts about Saratoga Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Saratoga Small Capit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Saratoga Small Alerts

Saratoga Small Alerts and Suggestions

The fund maintains 96.57% of its assets in stocks
Additionally, take a look at Saratoga Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Saratoga Small Correlation, Saratoga Small Hype Analysis, Saratoga Small Volatility, Saratoga Small History as well as Saratoga Small Performance. Note that the Saratoga Small Capit information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Saratoga Small's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Saratoga Mutual Fund analysis

When running Saratoga Small Capit price analysis, check to measure Saratoga Small's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Saratoga Small is operating at the current time. Most of Saratoga Small's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Saratoga Small's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Saratoga Small's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Saratoga Small to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Probability Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Go
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Go
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Go
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Go
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Go
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Go
Please note, there is a significant difference between Saratoga Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Saratoga Small value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Saratoga Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.