Stag Industrial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 34.38
| STAG Stock | USD 34.38 0.45 1.29% |
Closest to current price STAG long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
STAG |
STAG Industrial Target Price Odds to finish over 34.38
The tendency of STAG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 34.38 | 90 days | 34.38 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of STAG Industrial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This STAG Industrial probability density function shows the probability of STAG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.3 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, STAG Industrial will likely underperform. Additionally STAG Industrial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. STAG Industrial Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for STAG Industrial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STAG Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of STAG Industrial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
STAG Industrial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. STAG Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the STAG Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold STAG Industrial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of STAG Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.30 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
STAG Industrial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of STAG Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for STAG Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| STAG Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| STAG Industrial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of April 2024 STAG Industrial paid $ 0.1233 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: SHO or STAG Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now |
STAG Industrial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of STAG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential STAG Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. STAG Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 180.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.9 M |
STAG Industrial Technical Analysis
STAG Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. STAG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of STAG Industrial. In general, you should focus on analyzing STAG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
STAG Industrial Predictive Forecast Models
STAG Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many STAG Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary STAG Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about STAG Industrial
Checking the ongoing alerts about STAG Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for STAG Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| STAG Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| STAG Industrial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of April 2024 STAG Industrial paid $ 0.1233 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: SHO or STAG Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now |
Check out STAG Industrial Backtesting, STAG Industrial Valuation, STAG Industrial Correlation, STAG Industrial Hype Analysis, STAG Industrial Volatility, STAG Industrial History as well as STAG Industrial Performance. For more detail on how to invest in STAG Stock please use our How to Invest in STAG Industrial guide.Note that the STAG Industrial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other STAG Industrial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Complementary Tools for STAG Stock analysis
When running STAG Industrial's price analysis, check to measure STAG Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy STAG Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of STAG Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of STAG Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move STAG Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of STAG Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is STAG Industrial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of STAG Industrial. If investors know STAG will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about STAG Industrial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.383 | Dividend Share 1.47 | Earnings Share 1.05 | Revenue Per Share 3.928 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.076 |
The market value of STAG Industrial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of STAG that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of STAG Industrial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is STAG Industrial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because STAG Industrial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect STAG Industrial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between STAG Industrial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if STAG Industrial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, STAG Industrial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.