Istar Inc Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 27.72

STARDelisted Stock  USD 27.72  0.10  0.36%   
Istar's future price is the expected price of Istar instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Istar Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
Please specify Istar's target price for which you would like Istar odds to be computed.

Istar Target Price Odds to finish over 27.72

The tendency of Istar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 27.72 90 days 27.72 
about 92.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Istar to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.54 (This Istar Inc probability density function shows the probability of Istar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.76 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Istar will likely underperform. Additionally Istar Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Istar Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Istar

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Istar Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Istar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.7227.7227.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.3326.3330.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Istar. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Istar's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Istar's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Istar Inc.

Istar Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Istar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Istar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Istar Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Istar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.98
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.76
σ
Overall volatility
10.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Istar Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Istar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Istar Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Istar Inc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Istar Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Istar Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Istar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Istar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Istar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.7 B

Istar Technical Analysis

Istar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Istar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Istar Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Istar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Istar Predictive Forecast Models

Istar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Istar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Istar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Istar Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Istar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Istar Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Istar Inc is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Istar Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Note that the Istar Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Istar's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

Other Consideration for investing in Istar Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Istar Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Istar's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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