Synchrony Financial Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 57.88

SYF Stock  USD 43.12  0.84  1.99%   
Synchrony Financial's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Synchrony Financial. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Synchrony Financial based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Synchrony Financial over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 CALL at $43.0 is a CALL option contract on Synchrony Financial's common stock with a strick price of 43.0 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-03-28 at 15:59:23 for $1.4 and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.3, and an ask price of $1.4. The implied volatility as of the 29th of March is 31.63. View All Synchrony options

Closest to current price Synchrony long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Synchrony Financial's future price is the expected price of Synchrony Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Synchrony Financial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Synchrony Financial Backtesting, Synchrony Financial Valuation, Synchrony Financial Correlation, Synchrony Financial Hype Analysis, Synchrony Financial Volatility, Synchrony Financial History as well as Synchrony Financial Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Synchrony Stock please use our How to Invest in Synchrony Financial guide.
  
At this time, Synchrony Financial's Price Book Value Ratio is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The Synchrony Financial's current Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is estimated to increase to 3.52, while Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is forecasted to increase to (0.43). Please specify Synchrony Financial's target price for which you would like Synchrony Financial odds to be computed.

Synchrony Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 57.88

The tendency of Synchrony Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 57.88  or more in 90 days
 43.12 90 days 57.88 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Synchrony Financial to move over $ 57.88  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Synchrony Financial probability density function shows the probability of Synchrony Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Synchrony Financial price to stay between its current price of $ 43.12  and $ 57.88  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.04 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.12 . This usually implies Synchrony Financial market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Synchrony Financial is expected to follow. Additionally Synchrony Financial has an alpha of 0.0655, implying that it can generate a 0.0655 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Synchrony Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Synchrony Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Synchrony Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Synchrony Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
41.5243.1244.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.7141.3147.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.9741.5743.17
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
33.1136.3940.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Synchrony Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Synchrony Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Synchrony Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Synchrony Financial.

Synchrony Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Synchrony Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Synchrony Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Synchrony Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Synchrony Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.12
σ
Overall volatility
2.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Synchrony Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Synchrony Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Synchrony Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Synchrony Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of February 2024 Synchrony Financial paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from americanbanker.com: Santander adds ex-Marcus head to lead retail banking and digital push

Synchrony Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Synchrony Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Synchrony Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Synchrony Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding423.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments14.3 B

Synchrony Financial Technical Analysis

Synchrony Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Synchrony Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Synchrony Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Synchrony Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Synchrony Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Synchrony Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Synchrony Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Synchrony Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Synchrony Financial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Synchrony Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Synchrony Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Synchrony Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of February 2024 Synchrony Financial paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from americanbanker.com: Santander adds ex-Marcus head to lead retail banking and digital push
When determining whether Synchrony Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze Synchrony Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Synchrony Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Synchrony Stock, refer to the following important reports:

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When running Synchrony Financial's price analysis, check to measure Synchrony Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Synchrony Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Synchrony Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Synchrony Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Synchrony Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Synchrony Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Synchrony Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Synchrony Financial. If investors know Synchrony will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Synchrony Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.18)
Dividend Share
0.96
Earnings Share
5.19
Revenue Per Share
18.191
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of Synchrony Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Synchrony that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Synchrony Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Synchrony Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Synchrony Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Synchrony Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Synchrony Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Synchrony Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Synchrony Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.