THRIVENT Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 15.70

TAAAX Fund  USD 15.70  0.21  1.36%   
THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE's future price is the expected price of THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE ALLOCATION performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Additionally, take a look at THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE Correlation, THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE Hype Analysis, THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE Volatility, THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE History as well as THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE Performance. Please specify THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE odds to be computed.

THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE Target Price Odds to finish over 15.70

The tendency of THRIVENT Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.70 90 days 15.70 
about 58.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 58.1 (This THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE ALLOCATION probability density function shows the probability of THRIVENT Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE has a beta of 1.0. This usually implies THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE ALLOCATION market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0521, implying that it can generate a 0.0521 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
14.7315.7116.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
14.7515.7316.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE.

THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE ALLOCATION, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.00
σ
Overall volatility
0.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Thrivent Aggressive Allocation A a Strong Mutual Fund Pick Right Now - Zacks Investment Research
The fund maintains about 5.19% of its assets in cash

THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE Technical Analysis

THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. THRIVENT Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE ALLOCATION. In general, you should focus on analyzing THRIVENT Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE Predictive Forecast Models

THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE time-series forecasting models is one of many THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE

Checking the ongoing alerts about THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Thrivent Aggressive Allocation A a Strong Mutual Fund Pick Right Now - Zacks Investment Research
The fund maintains about 5.19% of its assets in cash
Additionally, take a look at THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE Correlation, THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE Hype Analysis, THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE Volatility, THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE History as well as THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE Performance. Note that the THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for THRIVENT Mutual Fund analysis

When running THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE price analysis, check to measure THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE is operating at the current time. Most of THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, THRIVENT AGGRESSIVE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.