Toronto Dominion Bank Pref Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 25.89

TD-PFI Preferred Stock  CAD 25.89  0.12  0.46%   
Toronto Dominion's future price is the expected price of Toronto Dominion instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Toronto Dominion Bank Pref performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Toronto Dominion Backtesting, Toronto Dominion Valuation, Toronto Dominion Correlation, Toronto Dominion Hype Analysis, Toronto Dominion Volatility, Toronto Dominion History as well as Toronto Dominion Performance.
  
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Toronto Dominion Target Price Odds to finish over 25.89

The tendency of Toronto Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.89 90 days 25.89 
about 27.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Toronto Dominion to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 27.82 (This Toronto Dominion Bank Pref probability density function shows the probability of Toronto Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Toronto Dominion has a beta of 0.0188. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Toronto Dominion average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Toronto Dominion Bank Pref will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Toronto Dominion Bank Pref has an alpha of 0.0084, implying that it can generate a 0.008441 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Toronto Dominion Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Toronto Dominion

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Toronto Dominion Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.5125.8926.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.4425.8226.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Toronto Dominion. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Toronto Dominion's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Toronto Dominion's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Toronto Dominion Bank.

Toronto Dominion Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Toronto Dominion is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Toronto Dominion's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Toronto Dominion Bank Pref, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Toronto Dominion within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Toronto Dominion Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Toronto Dominion for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Toronto Dominion Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Toronto Dominion Bank Pref has accumulated about 542.82 B in cash with (65.3 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 299.41, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Toronto Dominion Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Toronto Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Toronto Dominion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Toronto Dominion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments138.2 B

Toronto Dominion Technical Analysis

Toronto Dominion's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Toronto Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Toronto Dominion Bank Pref. In general, you should focus on analyzing Toronto Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Toronto Dominion Predictive Forecast Models

Toronto Dominion's time-series forecasting models is one of many Toronto Dominion's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Toronto Dominion's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Toronto Dominion Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Toronto Dominion for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Toronto Dominion Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Toronto Dominion Bank Pref has accumulated about 542.82 B in cash with (65.3 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 299.41, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Other Information on Investing in Toronto Preferred Stock

Toronto Dominion financial ratios help investors to determine whether Toronto Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Toronto with respect to the benefits of owning Toronto Dominion security.