Teradata Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 49.25
| TDC Stock | USD 36.31 0.06 0.17% |
Closest to current price Teradata long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Teradata |
Teradata Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 49.25
The tendency of Teradata Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 49.25 after 90 days |
| 36.31 | 90 days | 49.25 | over 95.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Teradata Corp to stay under $ 49.25 after 90 days from now is over 95.6 (This Teradata Corp probability density function shows the probability of Teradata Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Teradata Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 36.31 and $ 49.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.93 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.31 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Teradata Corp will likely underperform. Additionally Teradata Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Teradata Corp Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Teradata Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teradata Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Teradata Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Teradata Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Teradata Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Teradata Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Teradata Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Teradata Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.42 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Teradata Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Teradata Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Teradata Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Teradata Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Teradata Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Salesforce buying Informatica has strategic merit even as concerns arise Citi |
Teradata Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Teradata Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Teradata Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Teradata Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 486 M |
Teradata Corp Technical Analysis
Teradata Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Teradata Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Teradata Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Teradata Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Teradata Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Teradata Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Teradata Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Teradata Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Teradata Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Teradata Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Teradata Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Teradata Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Teradata Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Salesforce buying Informatica has strategic merit even as concerns arise Citi |
Check out Teradata Corp Backtesting, Teradata Corp Valuation, Teradata Corp Correlation, Teradata Corp Hype Analysis, Teradata Corp Volatility, Teradata Corp History as well as Teradata Corp Performance. For information on how to trade Teradata Stock refer to our How to Trade Teradata Stock guide.Note that the Teradata Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Teradata Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Teradata Stock analysis
When running Teradata Corp's price analysis, check to measure Teradata Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Teradata Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Teradata Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Teradata Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Teradata Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Teradata Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements |
Is Teradata Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Teradata Corp. If investors know Teradata will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Teradata Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.541 | Earnings Share 0.61 | Revenue Per Share 18.367 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.011 | Return On Assets 0.0578 |
The market value of Teradata Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Teradata that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Teradata Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Teradata Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Teradata Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Teradata Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Teradata Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Teradata Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Teradata Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.