Atlassian Corp Plc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 192.36
| TEAM Stock | USD 194.27 2.72 1.42% |
Closest to current price Atlassian long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Atlassian |
Atlassian Corp Target Price Odds to finish below 192.36
The tendency of Atlassian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 192.36 or more in 90 days |
| 194.27 | 90 days | 192.36 | about 15.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atlassian Corp to drop to $ 192.36 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.79 (This Atlassian Corp Plc probability density function shows the probability of Atlassian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atlassian Corp Plc price to stay between $ 192.36 and its current price of $194.27 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.58 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.63 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Atlassian Corp will likely underperform. Additionally Atlassian Corp Plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Atlassian Corp Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Atlassian Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlassian Corp Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atlassian Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Atlassian Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atlassian Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atlassian Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atlassian Corp Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atlassian Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.41 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 18.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Atlassian Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atlassian Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atlassian Corp Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Atlassian Corp Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.53 B. Net Loss for the year was (486.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.91 B. | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Disposition of 1283 shares by Cannon-brookes Michael of Atlassian Corp at 198.0186 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Atlassian Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atlassian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atlassian Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atlassian Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 256.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
Atlassian Corp Technical Analysis
Atlassian Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atlassian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atlassian Corp Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atlassian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Atlassian Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Atlassian Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atlassian Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atlassian Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Atlassian Corp Plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Atlassian Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atlassian Corp Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Atlassian Corp Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.53 B. Net Loss for the year was (486.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.91 B. | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Disposition of 1283 shares by Cannon-brookes Michael of Atlassian Corp at 198.0186 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Atlassian Corp Backtesting, Atlassian Corp Valuation, Atlassian Corp Correlation, Atlassian Corp Hype Analysis, Atlassian Corp Volatility, Atlassian Corp History as well as Atlassian Corp Performance. Note that the Atlassian Corp Plc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Atlassian Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Atlassian Stock analysis
When running Atlassian Corp's price analysis, check to measure Atlassian Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atlassian Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Atlassian Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atlassian Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atlassian Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atlassian Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Atlassian Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atlassian Corp. If investors know Atlassian will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atlassian Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.722 | Earnings Share (1.49) | Revenue Per Share 15.106 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.215 | Return On Assets (0.03) |
The market value of Atlassian Corp Plc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atlassian that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atlassian Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atlassian Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atlassian Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atlassian Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atlassian Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Atlassian Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atlassian Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.