FRANKLIN Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 28.31

TEDIX Fund  USD 28.31  0.21  0.74%   
FRANKLIN MUTUAL's future price is the expected price of FRANKLIN MUTUAL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of FRANKLIN MUTUAL GLOBAL performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Additionally, take a look at FRANKLIN MUTUAL Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, FRANKLIN MUTUAL Correlation, FRANKLIN MUTUAL Hype Analysis, FRANKLIN MUTUAL Volatility, FRANKLIN MUTUAL History as well as FRANKLIN MUTUAL Performance. Please specify FRANKLIN MUTUAL time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like FRANKLIN MUTUAL odds to be computed.

FRANKLIN MUTUAL Target Price Odds to finish over 28.31

The tendency of FRANKLIN Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 28.31 90 days 28.31 
about 6.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FRANKLIN MUTUAL to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.1 (This FRANKLIN MUTUAL GLOBAL probability density function shows the probability of FRANKLIN Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon FRANKLIN MUTUAL has a beta of 0.86. This usually implies FRANKLIN MUTUAL GLOBAL market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, FRANKLIN MUTUAL is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0592, implying that it can generate a 0.0592 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   FRANKLIN MUTUAL Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for FRANKLIN MUTUAL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FRANKLIN MUTUAL GLOBAL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of FRANKLIN MUTUAL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of FRANKLIN MUTUAL in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
27.0027.9928.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
28.0829.0730.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
27.0528.0529.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.9827.9428.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FRANKLIN MUTUAL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FRANKLIN MUTUAL's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FRANKLIN MUTUAL's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in FRANKLIN MUTUAL GLOBAL.

FRANKLIN MUTUAL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FRANKLIN MUTUAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FRANKLIN MUTUAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FRANKLIN MUTUAL GLOBAL, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FRANKLIN MUTUAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.86
σ
Overall volatility
0.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.042526

FRANKLIN MUTUAL Technical Analysis

FRANKLIN MUTUAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. FRANKLIN Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of FRANKLIN MUTUAL GLOBAL. In general, you should focus on analyzing FRANKLIN Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

FRANKLIN MUTUAL Predictive Forecast Models

FRANKLIN MUTUAL time-series forecasting models is one of many FRANKLIN MUTUAL's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary FRANKLIN MUTUAL's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards FRANKLIN MUTUAL in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, FRANKLIN MUTUAL's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from FRANKLIN MUTUAL options trading.
Additionally, take a look at FRANKLIN MUTUAL Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, FRANKLIN MUTUAL Correlation, FRANKLIN MUTUAL Hype Analysis, FRANKLIN MUTUAL Volatility, FRANKLIN MUTUAL History as well as FRANKLIN MUTUAL Performance. You can also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running FRANKLIN MUTUAL GLOBAL price analysis, check to measure FRANKLIN MUTUAL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FRANKLIN MUTUAL is operating at the current time. Most of FRANKLIN MUTUAL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FRANKLIN MUTUAL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FRANKLIN MUTUAL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FRANKLIN MUTUAL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between FRANKLIN MUTUAL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine FRANKLIN MUTUAL value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FRANKLIN MUTUAL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.