Tevano OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0993

TEVNF -  USA Stock  

USD 0.1  0.00  0.00%

Tevano Systems' future price is the expected price of Tevano Systems instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tevano Systems Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Tevano Price Probability 

 
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Additionally, take a look at Tevano Systems Backtesting, Tevano Systems Valuation, Tevano Systems Correlation, Tevano Systems Hype Analysis, Tevano Systems Volatility, Tevano Systems History as well as Tevano Systems Performance. Please specify Tevano Systems time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Tevano Systems odds to be computed.
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Tevano Systems Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0993

The tendency of Tevano OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.1 90 days 0.1  about 81.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tevano Systems to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 81.39 (This Tevano Systems Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Tevano OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.32 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Tevano Systems will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Tevano Systems Holdings is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Tevano Systems Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Tevano Systems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tevano Systems Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tevano Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Tevano Systems in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.010.105.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.000.095.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0017720.095.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.10.10.1
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tevano Systems. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tevano Systems' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tevano Systems' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Tevano Systems Holdings.

Tevano Systems Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tevano Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tevano Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tevano Systems Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tevano Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-1
β
Beta against DOW1.32
σ
Overall volatility
0.034444
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Tevano Systems Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tevano Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tevano Systems Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tevano Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tevano Systems has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Tevano Systems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Tevano Systems has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 59.43 K. Net Loss for the year was (5.7 M).
Tevano Systems Holdings has accumulated about 2.23 M in cash with (3.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.

Tevano Systems Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tevano OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tevano Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tevano Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume In Three Month72

Tevano Systems Technical Analysis

Tevano Systems' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tevano OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tevano Systems Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tevano OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tevano Systems Predictive Forecast Models

Tevano Systems time-series forecasting models is one of many Tevano Systems' otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Tevano Systems' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tevano Systems Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tevano Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tevano Systems Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Tevano Systems Alerts

Tevano Systems Alerts and Suggestions

Tevano Systems generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Tevano Systems has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Tevano Systems has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Tevano Systems has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 59.43 K. Net Loss for the year was (5.7 M).
Tevano Systems Holdings has accumulated about 2.23 M in cash with (3.92 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.03.
Additionally, take a look at Tevano Systems Backtesting, Tevano Systems Valuation, Tevano Systems Correlation, Tevano Systems Hype Analysis, Tevano Systems Volatility, Tevano Systems History as well as Tevano Systems Performance. Note that the Tevano Systems Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Tevano Systems' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

Complementary Tools for Tevano OTC Stock analysis

When running Tevano Systems Holdings price analysis, check to measure Tevano Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tevano Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Tevano Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tevano Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tevano Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tevano Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Tevano Systems Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tevano that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tevano Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tevano Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tevano Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tevano Systems Holdings underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tevano Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Tevano Systems value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tevano Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.