Timothy Israel Mon Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 27.16
| TICIX Fund | USD 20.85 0.03 0.14% |
Timothy |
Timothy Israel Target Price Odds to finish over 27.16
The tendency of Timothy Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 27.16 or more in 90 days |
| 20.85 | 90 days | 27.16 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Timothy Israel to move over $ 27.16 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Timothy Israel Mon probability density function shows the probability of Timothy Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Timothy Israel Mon price to stay between its current price of $ 20.85 and $ 27.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.13 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Timothy Israel has a beta of 0.99. This usually implies Timothy Israel Mon market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Timothy Israel is expected to follow. Additionally Timothy Israel Mon has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Timothy Israel Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Timothy Israel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timothy Israel Mon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Timothy Israel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Timothy Israel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Timothy Israel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Timothy Israel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Timothy Israel Mon, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Timothy Israel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Timothy Israel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Timothy Israel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Timothy Israel Mon can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -3.0% | |
| Timothy Israel Mon maintains 98.28% of its assets in stocks |
Timothy Israel Technical Analysis
Timothy Israel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Timothy Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Timothy Israel Mon. In general, you should focus on analyzing Timothy Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Timothy Israel Predictive Forecast Models
Timothy Israel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Timothy Israel's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Timothy Israel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Timothy Israel Mon
Checking the ongoing alerts about Timothy Israel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Timothy Israel Mon help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -3.0% | |
| Timothy Israel Mon maintains 98.28% of its assets in stocks |
Check out Timothy Israel Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Timothy Israel Correlation, Timothy Israel Hype Analysis, Timothy Israel Volatility, Timothy Israel History as well as Timothy Israel Performance. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.