Tokyo OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 3.01

TKECF -  USA Stock  

USD 3.01  0.24  7.38%

Tokyo Electric's future price is the expected price of Tokyo Electric instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tokyo Electric Power performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Tokyo Price Probability 

 
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Additionally, take a look at Tokyo Electric Backtesting, Tokyo Electric Valuation, Tokyo Electric Correlation, Tokyo Electric Hype Analysis, Tokyo Electric Volatility, Tokyo Electric History as well as Tokyo Electric Performance. Please specify Tokyo Electric time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Tokyo Electric odds to be computed.
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Tokyo Electric Target Price Odds to finish over 3.01

The tendency of Tokyo OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.01 90 days 3.01  about 24.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tokyo Electric to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 24.33 (This Tokyo Electric Power probability density function shows the probability of Tokyo OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tokyo Electric Power has a beta of -0.0188. This usually implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Tokyo Electric are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Tokyo Electric Power is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0175, implying that it can generate a 0.0175 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Tokyo Electric Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Tokyo Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tokyo Electric Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tokyo Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Tokyo Electric in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.943.025.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.402.484.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.872.965.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.382.843.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tokyo Electric. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tokyo Electric's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tokyo Electric's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Tokyo Electric Power.

Tokyo Electric Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tokyo Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tokyo Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tokyo Electric Power, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tokyo Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.01747
β
Beta against DOW-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Tokyo Electric Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tokyo Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tokyo Electric Power can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tokyo Electric Power has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 5180 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.63, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Tokyo Electric Power has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Tokyo Gets Biggest Jolt Since 2011 With Magnitude 5.9 Quake - Yahoo Finance

Tokyo Electric Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tokyo OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tokyo Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tokyo Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares1.51B
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.51k

Tokyo Electric Technical Analysis

Tokyo Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tokyo OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tokyo Electric Power. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tokyo OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tokyo Electric Predictive Forecast Models

Tokyo Electric time-series forecasting models is one of many Tokyo Electric's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Tokyo Electric's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tokyo Electric Power

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tokyo Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tokyo Electric Power help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Tokyo Electric Alerts

Tokyo Electric Alerts and Suggestions

Tokyo Electric Power has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 5180 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.63, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Tokyo Electric Power has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Tokyo Gets Biggest Jolt Since 2011 With Magnitude 5.9 Quake - Yahoo Finance
Additionally, take a look at Tokyo Electric Backtesting, Tokyo Electric Valuation, Tokyo Electric Correlation, Tokyo Electric Hype Analysis, Tokyo Electric Volatility, Tokyo Electric History as well as Tokyo Electric Performance. Note that the Tokyo Electric Power information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Tokyo Electric's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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When running Tokyo Electric Power price analysis, check to measure Tokyo Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tokyo Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Tokyo Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tokyo Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tokyo Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tokyo Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Tokyo Electric Power is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tokyo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tokyo Electric's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tokyo Electric's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tokyo Electric's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tokyo Electric Power underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tokyo Electric's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Tokyo Electric value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tokyo Electric's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.