Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.8148

TKGBY Stock  USD 2.02  0.03  1.46%   
Turkiye Garanti's future price is the expected price of Turkiye Garanti instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Turkiye Garanti Backtesting, Turkiye Garanti Valuation, Turkiye Garanti Correlation, Turkiye Garanti Hype Analysis, Turkiye Garanti Volatility, Turkiye Garanti History as well as Turkiye Garanti Performance.
  
Please specify Turkiye Garanti's target price for which you would like Turkiye Garanti odds to be computed.

Turkiye Garanti Target Price Odds to finish over 0.8148

The tendency of Turkiye OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.81  in 90 days
 2.02 90 days 0.81 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Turkiye Garanti to stay above $ 0.81  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Turkiye Garanti Bankasi probability density function shows the probability of Turkiye OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi price to stay between $ 0.81  and its current price of $2.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Turkiye Garanti has a beta of 0.6. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Turkiye Garanti average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Turkiye Garanti Bankasi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Turkiye Garanti Bankasi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Turkiye Garanti Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Turkiye Garanti

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Turkiye Garanti Bankasi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Turkiye Garanti's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.102.056.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.726.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.156.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.042.062.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Turkiye Garanti. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Turkiye Garanti's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Turkiye Garanti's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Turkiye Garanti Bankasi.

Turkiye Garanti Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Turkiye Garanti is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Turkiye Garanti's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Turkiye Garanti Bankasi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Turkiye Garanti within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.60
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Turkiye Garanti Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Turkiye Garanti for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Turkiye Garanti Bankasi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Turkiye Garanti had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Turkiye Garanti Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Turkiye OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Turkiye Garanti's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Turkiye Garanti's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.2 B
Dividends Paid1.3 B
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.02
Shares Float589.1 M

Turkiye Garanti Technical Analysis

Turkiye Garanti's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Turkiye OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Turkiye OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Turkiye Garanti Predictive Forecast Models

Turkiye Garanti's time-series forecasting models is one of many Turkiye Garanti's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Turkiye Garanti's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Turkiye Garanti Bankasi

Checking the ongoing alerts about Turkiye Garanti for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Turkiye Garanti Bankasi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Turkiye Garanti had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Check out Turkiye Garanti Backtesting, Turkiye Garanti Valuation, Turkiye Garanti Correlation, Turkiye Garanti Hype Analysis, Turkiye Garanti Volatility, Turkiye Garanti History as well as Turkiye Garanti Performance.
Note that the Turkiye Garanti Bankasi information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Turkiye Garanti's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

Complementary Tools for Turkiye OTC Stock analysis

When running Turkiye Garanti's price analysis, check to measure Turkiye Garanti's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Turkiye Garanti is operating at the current time. Most of Turkiye Garanti's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Turkiye Garanti's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Turkiye Garanti's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Turkiye Garanti to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Global Correlations
Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Please note, there is a significant difference between Turkiye Garanti's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Turkiye Garanti is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Turkiye Garanti's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.