Turkiye OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.91

TKGBY
 Stock
  

USD 0.78  0.02  2.63%   

Turkiye Garanti's future price is the expected price of Turkiye Garanti instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Turkiye Garanti Bank performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
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Additionally, take a look at Turkiye Garanti Backtesting, Turkiye Garanti Valuation, Turkiye Garanti Correlation, Turkiye Garanti Hype Analysis, Turkiye Garanti Volatility, Turkiye Garanti History as well as Turkiye Garanti Performance. Please specify Turkiye Garanti time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Turkiye Garanti odds to be computed.
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Turkiye Garanti Target Price Odds to finish below 0.91

The tendency of Turkiye OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.91  after 90 days
 0.78 90 days 0.91  about 65.08
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Turkiye Garanti to stay under $ 0.91  after 90 days from now is about 65.08 (This Turkiye Garanti Bank probability density function shows the probability of Turkiye OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Turkiye Garanti Bank price to stay between its current price of $ 0.78  and $ 0.91  at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.74 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Turkiye Garanti Bank has a beta of -0.18. This usually implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Turkiye Garanti are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Turkiye Garanti Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0458, implying that it can generate a 0.0458 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Turkiye Garanti Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Turkiye Garanti

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Turkiye Garanti Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Turkiye Garanti's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Turkiye Garanti in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.040.764.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.030.694.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0154370.774.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.770.840.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Turkiye Garanti. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Turkiye Garanti's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Turkiye Garanti's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Turkiye Garanti Bank.

Turkiye Garanti Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Turkiye Garanti is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Turkiye Garanti's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Turkiye Garanti Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Turkiye Garanti within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.045752
β
Beta against DOW-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Turkiye Garanti Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Turkiye Garanti for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Turkiye Garanti Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Turkiye Garanti Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Turkiye Garanti Bank has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Turkiye Garanti Bank has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Turkiye Garanti Bank has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: BBVA Implementation of IAS 29 to BBVA Turkey Financial Statements - Marketscreener.com

Turkiye Garanti Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Turkiye OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Turkiye Garanti's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Turkiye Garanti's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares2.1B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day20.12k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month168.28k

Turkiye Garanti Technical Analysis

Turkiye Garanti's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Turkiye OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Turkiye Garanti Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Turkiye OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Turkiye Garanti Predictive Forecast Models

Turkiye Garanti time-series forecasting models is one of many Turkiye Garanti's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Turkiye Garanti's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Turkiye Garanti Bank

Checking the ongoing alerts about Turkiye Garanti for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Turkiye Garanti Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Turkiye Garanti Alerts

Turkiye Garanti Alerts and Suggestions

Turkiye Garanti Bank generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Turkiye Garanti Bank has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Turkiye Garanti Bank has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Turkiye Garanti Bank has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: BBVA Implementation of IAS 29 to BBVA Turkey Financial Statements - Marketscreener.com
Additionally, take a look at Turkiye Garanti Backtesting, Turkiye Garanti Valuation, Turkiye Garanti Correlation, Turkiye Garanti Hype Analysis, Turkiye Garanti Volatility, Turkiye Garanti History as well as Turkiye Garanti Performance. Note that the Turkiye Garanti Bank information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Turkiye Garanti's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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Is Turkiye Garanti's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Turkiye Garanti. If investors know Turkiye will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Turkiye Garanti listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
2.08
Market Capitalization
3.2 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
1.34
Return On Assets
0.0245
Return On Equity
0.23
The market value of Turkiye Garanti Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Turkiye that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Turkiye Garanti's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Turkiye Garanti's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Turkiye Garanti's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Turkiye Garanti's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Turkiye Garanti's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Turkiye Garanti value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Turkiye Garanti's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.