Turk Hava Yollari Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 89.97

TKHVY Stock  USD 89.97  5.10  6.01%   
Turk Hava's future price is the expected price of Turk Hava instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Turk Hava Yollari performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Turk Hava Backtesting, Turk Hava Valuation, Turk Hava Correlation, Turk Hava Hype Analysis, Turk Hava Volatility, Turk Hava History as well as Turk Hava Performance.
  
Please specify Turk Hava's target price for which you would like Turk Hava odds to be computed.

Turk Hava Target Price Odds to finish over 89.97

The tendency of Turk Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 89.97 90 days 89.97 
about 30.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Turk Hava to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 30.46 (This Turk Hava Yollari probability density function shows the probability of Turk Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Turk Hava Yollari has a beta of -0.39. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Turk Hava are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Turk Hava Yollari is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Turk Hava Yollari has an alpha of 0.0647, implying that it can generate a 0.0647 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Turk Hava Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Turk Hava

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Turk Hava Yollari. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Turk Hava's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
88.1589.9791.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
73.2475.0698.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
87.4389.2691.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
89.9789.9789.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Turk Hava. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Turk Hava's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Turk Hava's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Turk Hava Yollari.

Turk Hava Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Turk Hava is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Turk Hava's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Turk Hava Yollari, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Turk Hava within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.39
σ
Overall volatility
3.54
Ir
Information ratio 0.0009

Turk Hava Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Turk Hava for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Turk Hava Yollari can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 2.33 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.7, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Turk Hava Yollari has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Turk Hava until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Turk Hava's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Turk Hava Yollari sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Turk to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Turk Hava's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Turk Hava Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Turk Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Turk Hava's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Turk Hava's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B

Turk Hava Technical Analysis

Turk Hava's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Turk Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Turk Hava Yollari. In general, you should focus on analyzing Turk Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Turk Hava Predictive Forecast Models

Turk Hava's time-series forecasting models is one of many Turk Hava's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Turk Hava's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Turk Hava Yollari

Checking the ongoing alerts about Turk Hava for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Turk Hava Yollari help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has accumulated 2.33 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.7, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Turk Hava Yollari has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Turk Hava until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Turk Hava's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Turk Hava Yollari sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Turk to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Turk Hava's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Check out Turk Hava Backtesting, Turk Hava Valuation, Turk Hava Correlation, Turk Hava Hype Analysis, Turk Hava Volatility, Turk Hava History as well as Turk Hava Performance.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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When running Turk Hava's price analysis, check to measure Turk Hava's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Turk Hava is operating at the current time. Most of Turk Hava's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Turk Hava's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Turk Hava's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Turk Hava to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Turk Hava's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Turk Hava is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Turk Hava's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.