TKHVY OTC Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 14.51

TKHVY -  USA Stock  

USD 14.51  0.68  4.48%

Turk Hava's future price is the expected price of Turk Hava instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Turk Hava Yallari performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Additionally, take a look at Turk Hava Backtesting, Turk Hava Valuation, Turk Hava Correlation, Turk Hava Hype Analysis, Turk Hava Volatility, Turk Hava History as well as Turk Hava Performance. Please specify Turk Hava time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Turk Hava odds to be computed.
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Turk Hava Target Price Odds to finish over 14.51

The tendency of TKHVY OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 14.51 90 days 14.51  about 92.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Turk Hava to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.17 (This Turk Hava Yallari probability density function shows the probability of TKHVY OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Turk Hava Yallari has a beta of -0.27. This usually implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Turk Hava are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Turk Hava Yallari is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0416, implying that it can generate a 0.0416 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Turk Hava Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Turk Hava

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Turk Hava Yallari. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Turk Hava's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Turk Hava in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
12.0814.5517.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.1612.6315.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Turk Hava. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Turk Hava's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Turk Hava's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Turk Hava Yallari.

Turk Hava Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Turk Hava is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Turk Hava's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Turk Hava Yallari, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Turk Hava within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.041599
β
Beta against DOW-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.84
Ir
Information ratio 0.00803

Turk Hava Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Turk Hava for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Turk Hava Yallari can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Turk Hava Yallari generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Turk Hava Yallari has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 16.39 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.79, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Turk Hava Yallari has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: The Latest First 345 Turkish troops arrive home from Kabul - marketscreener.com

Turk Hava Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TKHVY OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Turk Hava's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Turk Hava's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares70.21M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day85
Average Daily Volume In Three Month309

Turk Hava Technical Analysis

Turk Hava's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TKHVY OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Turk Hava Yallari. In general, you should focus on analyzing TKHVY OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Turk Hava Predictive Forecast Models

Turk Hava time-series forecasting models is one of many Turk Hava's otc stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Turk Hava's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Turk Hava Yallari

Checking the ongoing alerts about Turk Hava for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Turk Hava Yallari help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Turk Hava Alerts

Turk Hava Alerts and Suggestions

Turk Hava Yallari generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Turk Hava Yallari has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company has accumulated 16.39 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.79, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Turk Hava Yallari has a current ratio of 0.65, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due.
Latest headline from www.marketscreener.com: The Latest First 345 Turkish troops arrive home from Kabul - marketscreener.com
Additionally, take a look at Turk Hava Backtesting, Turk Hava Valuation, Turk Hava Correlation, Turk Hava Hype Analysis, Turk Hava Volatility, Turk Hava History as well as Turk Hava Performance. Note that the Turk Hava Yallari information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Turk Hava's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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When running Turk Hava Yallari price analysis, check to measure Turk Hava's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Turk Hava is operating at the current time. Most of Turk Hava's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Turk Hava's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Turk Hava's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Turk Hava to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Turk Hava Yallari is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TKHVY that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Turk Hava's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Turk Hava's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Turk Hava's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Turk Hava Yallari underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Turk Hava's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Turk Hava value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Turk Hava's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.