TIAA-CREF Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 17.49

TLWIX Fund  USD 17.49  0.05  0.29%   
TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's future price is the expected price of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Check out TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE Correlation, TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE Hype Analysis, TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE Volatility, TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE History as well as TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE Performance. Please specify TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE odds to be computed.

TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE Target Price Odds to finish over 17.49

The tendency of TIAA-CREF Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.49 90 days 17.49 
about 45.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 45.58 (This TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX probability density function shows the probability of TIAA-CREF Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX has a beta of -0.0788. This usually implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0318, implying that it can generate a 0.0318 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
16.9917.4917.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
15.7418.4518.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
17.0517.5518.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.1517.4917.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX.

TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.031802
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years

TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE Technical Analysis

TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TIAA-CREF Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX. In general, you should focus on analyzing TIAA-CREF Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE Predictive Forecast Models

TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE time-series forecasting models is one of many TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX

Checking the ongoing alerts about TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Check out TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE Correlation, TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE Hype Analysis, TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE Volatility, TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE History as well as TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE Performance. You can also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE INDEX price analysis, check to measure TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE is operating at the current time. Most of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TIAA-CREF LIFECYCLE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.