Tomco Energy Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 6.80

TMCGF Stock  USD 0.02  0.00  0.00%   
TomCo Energy's future price is the expected price of TomCo Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TomCo Energy Plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TomCo Energy Backtesting, TomCo Energy Valuation, TomCo Energy Correlation, TomCo Energy Hype Analysis, TomCo Energy Volatility, TomCo Energy History as well as TomCo Energy Performance.
  
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TomCo Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 6.80

The tendency of TomCo Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 6.80  or more in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 6.80 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TomCo Energy to move over $ 6.80  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This TomCo Energy Plc probability density function shows the probability of TomCo Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TomCo Energy Plc price to stay between its current price of $ 0.02  and $ 6.80  at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon TomCo Energy Plc has a beta of -95.38. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding TomCo Energy Plc are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, TomCo Energy is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that TomCo Energy Plc has an alpha of 52.1875, implying that it can generate a 52.19 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TomCo Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TomCo Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TomCo Energy Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TomCo Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.020.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.010.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TomCo Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TomCo Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TomCo Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TomCo Energy Plc.

TomCo Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TomCo Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TomCo Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TomCo Energy Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TomCo Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
52.19
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-95.38
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

TomCo Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TomCo Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TomCo Energy Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TomCo Energy Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TomCo Energy Plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company has accumulated 1.21 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.23, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. TomCo Energy Plc has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist TomCo Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, TomCo Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like TomCo Energy Plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for TomCo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about TomCo Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (10.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
TomCo Energy Plc has accumulated about 1.12 M in cash with (1.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 15.0% of TomCo Energy outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

TomCo Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TomCo Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TomCo Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TomCo Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B

TomCo Energy Technical Analysis

TomCo Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TomCo Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TomCo Energy Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing TomCo Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TomCo Energy Predictive Forecast Models

TomCo Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many TomCo Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TomCo Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TomCo Energy Plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about TomCo Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TomCo Energy Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TomCo Energy Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TomCo Energy Plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company has accumulated 1.21 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.23, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. TomCo Energy Plc has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist TomCo Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, TomCo Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like TomCo Energy Plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for TomCo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about TomCo Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (10.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
TomCo Energy Plc has accumulated about 1.12 M in cash with (1.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 15.0% of TomCo Energy outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out TomCo Energy Backtesting, TomCo Energy Valuation, TomCo Energy Correlation, TomCo Energy Hype Analysis, TomCo Energy Volatility, TomCo Energy History as well as TomCo Energy Performance.
Note that the TomCo Energy Plc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other TomCo Energy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for TomCo Pink Sheet analysis

When running TomCo Energy's price analysis, check to measure TomCo Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TomCo Energy is operating at the current time. Most of TomCo Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TomCo Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TomCo Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TomCo Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between TomCo Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TomCo Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TomCo Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.