Thrivent Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 16.07

TMCGX -  USA Fund  

USD 16.07  0.15  0.94%

Thrivent Mid's future price is the expected price of Thrivent Mid instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thrivent Mid Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Thrivent Price Probability 

 
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Additionally, take a look at Thrivent Mid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Thrivent Mid Correlation, Thrivent Mid Hype Analysis, Thrivent Mid Volatility, Thrivent Mid History as well as Thrivent Mid Performance. Please specify Thrivent Mid time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Thrivent Mid odds to be computed.
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Thrivent Mid Target Price Odds to finish over 16.07

The tendency of Thrivent Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 16.07 90 days 16.07  about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thrivent Mid to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Thrivent Mid Cap probability density function shows the probability of Thrivent Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Thrivent Mid Cap has a beta of -0.0644. This usually implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Thrivent Mid are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Thrivent Mid Cap is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Thrivent Mid Cap is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Thrivent Mid Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Thrivent Mid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thrivent Mid Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Thrivent Mid's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Thrivent Mid in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
14.9016.0717.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
14.4715.6416.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
14.9016.0717.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.3517.2618.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Thrivent Mid. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Thrivent Mid's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Thrivent Mid's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Thrivent Mid Cap.

Thrivent Mid Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thrivent Mid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thrivent Mid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thrivent Mid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thrivent Mid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.06
β
Beta against DOW-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Thrivent Mid Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thrivent Mid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thrivent Mid Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thrivent Mid Cap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 96.58% of its assets in stocks

Thrivent Mid Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thrivent Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thrivent Mid's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thrivent Mid's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate13.61
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield76.72%

Thrivent Mid Technical Analysis

Thrivent Mid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thrivent Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thrivent Mid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thrivent Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thrivent Mid Predictive Forecast Models

Thrivent Mid time-series forecasting models is one of many Thrivent Mid's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Thrivent Mid's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thrivent Mid Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thrivent Mid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thrivent Mid Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Thrivent Mid Alerts

Thrivent Mid Alerts and Suggestions

Thrivent Mid Cap generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains 96.58% of its assets in stocks
Additionally, take a look at Thrivent Mid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Thrivent Mid Correlation, Thrivent Mid Hype Analysis, Thrivent Mid Volatility, Thrivent Mid History as well as Thrivent Mid Performance. Note that the Thrivent Mid Cap information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Thrivent Mid's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

Complementary Tools for Thrivent Mutual Fund analysis

When running Thrivent Mid Cap price analysis, check to measure Thrivent Mid's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thrivent Mid is operating at the current time. Most of Thrivent Mid's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thrivent Mid's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thrivent Mid's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thrivent Mid to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Thrivent Mid's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Thrivent Mid value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Thrivent Mid's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.