Touchstone Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 46.22

TMCJX -  USA Fund  

USD 46.22  1.06  2.35%

Touchstone Mid's future price is the expected price of Touchstone Mid instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Touchstone Mid Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

Touchstone Price Probability 

 
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Additionally, take a look at Touchstone Mid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Touchstone Mid Correlation, Touchstone Mid Hype Analysis, Touchstone Mid Volatility, Touchstone Mid History as well as Touchstone Mid Performance. Please specify Touchstone Mid time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Touchstone Mid odds to be computed.
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Touchstone Mid Target Price Odds to finish over 46.22

The tendency of Touchstone Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 46.22 90 days 46.22  about 7.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Touchstone Mid to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.73 (This Touchstone Mid Cap probability density function shows the probability of Touchstone Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Touchstone Mid has a beta of 0.95. This usually implies Touchstone Mid Cap market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Touchstone Mid is expected to follow. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0439, implying that it can generate a 0.0439 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Touchstone Mid Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Touchstone Mid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Touchstone Mid Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Touchstone Mid's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Touchstone Mid in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
45.4246.2247.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
45.1045.9046.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
43.9644.7645.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45.1246.1547.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Touchstone Mid. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Touchstone Mid's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Touchstone Mid's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Touchstone Mid Cap.

Touchstone Mid Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Touchstone Mid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Touchstone Mid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Touchstone Mid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Touchstone Mid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.043857
β
Beta against DOW0.95
σ
Overall volatility
1.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Touchstone Mid Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Touchstone Mid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Touchstone Mid Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Touchstone Mid Cap is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains 96.16% of its assets in stocks

Touchstone Mid Technical Analysis

Touchstone Mid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Touchstone Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Touchstone Mid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Touchstone Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Touchstone Mid Predictive Forecast Models

Touchstone Mid time-series forecasting models is one of many Touchstone Mid's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Touchstone Mid's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Touchstone Mid Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Touchstone Mid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Touchstone Mid Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Touchstone Mid Alerts

Touchstone Mid Alerts and Suggestions

Touchstone Mid Cap is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains 96.16% of its assets in stocks
Additionally, take a look at Touchstone Mid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Touchstone Mid Correlation, Touchstone Mid Hype Analysis, Touchstone Mid Volatility, Touchstone Mid History as well as Touchstone Mid Performance. Note that the Touchstone Mid Cap information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Touchstone Mid's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

Complementary Tools for Touchstone Mutual Fund analysis

When running Touchstone Mid Cap price analysis, check to measure Touchstone Mid's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Touchstone Mid is operating at the current time. Most of Touchstone Mid's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Touchstone Mid's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Touchstone Mid's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Touchstone Mid to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Touchstone Mid's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Touchstone Mid value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Touchstone Mid's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.