Temenos Ag Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 59.17

TMNSF Stock  USD 68.05  4.72  6.49%   
Temenos AG's future price is the expected price of Temenos AG instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Temenos AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Temenos AG Backtesting, Temenos AG Valuation, Temenos AG Correlation, Temenos AG Hype Analysis, Temenos AG Volatility, Temenos AG History as well as Temenos AG Performance.
  
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Temenos AG Target Price Odds to finish over 59.17

The tendency of Temenos Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 59.17  in 90 days
 68.05 90 days 59.17 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Temenos AG to stay above $ 59.17  in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Temenos AG probability density function shows the probability of Temenos Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Temenos AG price to stay between $ 59.17  and its current price of $68.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.21 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Temenos AG has a beta of 0.14. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Temenos AG average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Temenos AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Temenos AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Temenos AG Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Temenos AG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Temenos AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Temenos AG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.3168.0571.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
59.4663.2074.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
65.4769.2172.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
68.0568.0568.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Temenos AG. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Temenos AG's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Temenos AG's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Temenos AG.

Temenos AG Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Temenos AG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Temenos AG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Temenos AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Temenos AG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.36
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.14
σ
Overall volatility
8.58
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Temenos AG Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Temenos AG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Temenos AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Temenos AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Temenos AG has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company has accumulated 719.09 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.8, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Temenos AG has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Temenos AG until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Temenos AG's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Temenos AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Temenos to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Temenos AG's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 61.0% of Temenos AG shares are owned by institutional investors

Temenos AG Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Temenos Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Temenos AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Temenos AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding71.6 M

Temenos AG Technical Analysis

Temenos AG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Temenos Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Temenos AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Temenos Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Temenos AG Predictive Forecast Models

Temenos AG's time-series forecasting models is one of many Temenos AG's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Temenos AG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Temenos AG

Checking the ongoing alerts about Temenos AG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Temenos AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Temenos AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Temenos AG has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company has accumulated 719.09 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.8, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Temenos AG has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Temenos AG until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Temenos AG's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Temenos AG sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Temenos to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Temenos AG's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 61.0% of Temenos AG shares are owned by institutional investors
Check out Temenos AG Backtesting, Temenos AG Valuation, Temenos AG Correlation, Temenos AG Hype Analysis, Temenos AG Volatility, Temenos AG History as well as Temenos AG Performance.
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When running Temenos AG's price analysis, check to measure Temenos AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Temenos AG is operating at the current time. Most of Temenos AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Temenos AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Temenos AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Temenos AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Temenos AG's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Temenos AG is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Temenos AG's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.