Trinet Group Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 131.17

TNET Stock  USD 97.84  0.97  1.00%   
TriNet's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on TriNet Group. Implied volatility approximates the future value of TriNet based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in TriNet Group over a specific time period. For example, 2024-06-21 CALL at $100.0 is a CALL option contract on TriNet's common stock with a strick price of 100.0 expiring on 2024-06-21. The contract was last traded on 2024-06-12 at 11:30:12 for $6.21 and, as of today, has 5 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $3.2, and an ask price of $7.2. The implied volatility as of the 16th of June 2024 is 58.03. View All TriNet options

Closest to current price TriNet long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

TriNet's future price is the expected price of TriNet instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TriNet Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
  
At this time, TriNet's Price Book Value Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to gain to 15.10 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to drop 0.54 in 2024. Please specify TriNet's target price for which you would like TriNet odds to be computed.

TriNet Target Price Odds to finish below 131.17

The tendency of TriNet Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 131.17  after 90 days
 97.84 90 days 131.17 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TriNet to stay under $ 131.17  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This TriNet Group probability density function shows the probability of TriNet Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TriNet Group price to stay between its current price of $ 97.84  and $ 131.17  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.6 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days TriNet has a beta of 0.12. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TriNet average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TriNet Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TriNet Group has an alpha of 0.2439, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TriNet Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TriNet

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TriNet Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TriNet's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.8497.8497.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.06109.47109.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
104.21104.21104.21
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
109.43120.25133.48
Details

TriNet Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TriNet is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TriNet's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TriNet Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TriNet within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.24
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.12
σ
Overall volatility
4.66
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

TriNet Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TriNet for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TriNet Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TriNet Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

TriNet Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TriNet Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TriNet's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TriNet's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding57 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

TriNet Technical Analysis

TriNet's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TriNet Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TriNet Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing TriNet Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TriNet Predictive Forecast Models

TriNet's time-series forecasting models is one of many TriNet's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TriNet's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TriNet Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about TriNet for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TriNet Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TriNet Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Tools for TriNet Stock Analysis

When running TriNet's price analysis, check to measure TriNet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TriNet is operating at the current time. Most of TriNet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TriNet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TriNet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TriNet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.