Toma As (Czech Republic) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1350.0

TOMA Stock  CZK 1,360  0.00  0.00%   
Toma As' future price is the expected price of Toma As instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Toma as performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Toma As Backtesting, Toma As Valuation, Toma As Correlation, Toma As Hype Analysis, Toma As Volatility, Toma As History as well as Toma As Performance.
  
Please specify Toma As' target price for which you would like Toma As odds to be computed.

Toma As Target Price Odds to finish below 1350.0

The tendency of Toma Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  1,350  or more in 90 days
 1,360 90 days 1,350 
about 12.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Toma As to drop to  1,350  or more in 90 days from now is about 12.95 (This Toma as probability density function shows the probability of Toma Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Toma as price to stay between  1,350  and its current price of 1360.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Toma As has a beta of 0.0797. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Toma As average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Toma as will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Toma as has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Toma As Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Toma As

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Toma as. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Toma As' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,3591,3601,361
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,1011,1021,496
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,3661,3661,367
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,3601,3601,360
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Toma As. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Toma As' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Toma As' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Toma as.

Toma As Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Toma As is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Toma As' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Toma as, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Toma As within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0012
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.08
σ
Overall volatility
19.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Toma As Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Toma As for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Toma as can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Toma As Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Toma Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Toma As' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Toma As' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.0212
Forward Annual Dividend Rate28

Toma As Technical Analysis

Toma As' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Toma Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Toma as. In general, you should focus on analyzing Toma Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Toma As Predictive Forecast Models

Toma As' time-series forecasting models is one of many Toma As' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Toma As' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Toma as

Checking the ongoing alerts about Toma As for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Toma as help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Check out Toma As Backtesting, Toma As Valuation, Toma As Correlation, Toma As Hype Analysis, Toma As Volatility, Toma As History as well as Toma As Performance.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

Complementary Tools for Toma Stock analysis

When running Toma As' price analysis, check to measure Toma As' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Toma As is operating at the current time. Most of Toma As' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Toma As' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Toma As' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Toma As to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Toma As' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toma As is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toma As' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.