STEWARD Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 11.78

TRDFX Fund  USD 11.14  0.38  3.53%   
STEWARD SMALL-MID's future price is the expected price of STEWARD SMALL-MID instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of STEWARD SMALL MID CAP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Check out STEWARD SMALL-MID Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, STEWARD SMALL-MID Correlation, STEWARD SMALL-MID Hype Analysis, STEWARD SMALL-MID Volatility, STEWARD SMALL-MID History as well as STEWARD SMALL-MID Performance. Please specify STEWARD SMALL-MID time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like STEWARD SMALL-MID odds to be computed.

STEWARD SMALL-MID Target Price Odds to finish over 11.78

The tendency of STEWARD Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 11.78  or more in 90 days
 11.14 90 days 11.78 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of STEWARD SMALL-MID to move over $ 11.78  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This STEWARD SMALL MID CAP probability density function shows the probability of STEWARD Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of STEWARD SMALL-MID CAP price to stay between its current price of $ 11.14  and $ 11.78  at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.18 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.28 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, STEWARD SMALL-MID will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. STEWARD SMALL-MID CAP is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   STEWARD SMALL-MID Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for STEWARD SMALL-MID

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as STEWARD SMALL-MID CAP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of STEWARD SMALL-MID's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of STEWARD SMALL-MID in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.8611.1412.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.2010.4811.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.6910.9712.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5610.8711.17
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as STEWARD SMALL-MID. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against STEWARD SMALL-MID's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, STEWARD SMALL-MID's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in STEWARD SMALL-MID CAP.

STEWARD SMALL-MID Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. STEWARD SMALL-MID is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the STEWARD SMALL-MID's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold STEWARD SMALL MID CAP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of STEWARD SMALL-MID within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.28
σ
Overall volatility
0.26
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

STEWARD SMALL-MID Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of STEWARD SMALL-MID for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for STEWARD SMALL-MID CAP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STEWARD SMALL-MID generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
STEWARD SMALL-MID is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
STEWARD SMALL-MID CAP maintains 98.67% of its assets in stocks

STEWARD SMALL-MID Technical Analysis

STEWARD SMALL-MID's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. STEWARD Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of STEWARD SMALL MID CAP. In general, you should focus on analyzing STEWARD Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

STEWARD SMALL-MID Predictive Forecast Models

STEWARD SMALL-MID's time-series forecasting models is one of many STEWARD SMALL-MID's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary STEWARD SMALL-MID's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about STEWARD SMALL-MID CAP

Checking the ongoing alerts about STEWARD SMALL-MID for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for STEWARD SMALL-MID CAP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
STEWARD SMALL-MID generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
STEWARD SMALL-MID is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
STEWARD SMALL-MID CAP maintains 98.67% of its assets in stocks
Check out STEWARD SMALL-MID Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, STEWARD SMALL-MID Correlation, STEWARD SMALL-MID Hype Analysis, STEWARD SMALL-MID Volatility, STEWARD SMALL-MID History as well as STEWARD SMALL-MID Performance. Note that the STEWARD SMALL-MID CAP information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other STEWARD SMALL-MID's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

Complementary Tools for STEWARD Mutual Fund analysis

When running STEWARD SMALL-MID's price analysis, check to measure STEWARD SMALL-MID's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy STEWARD SMALL-MID is operating at the current time. Most of STEWARD SMALL-MID's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of STEWARD SMALL-MID's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move STEWARD SMALL-MID's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of STEWARD SMALL-MID to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Correlation Analysis
Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Please note, there is a significant difference between STEWARD SMALL-MID's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if STEWARD SMALL-MID is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, STEWARD SMALL-MID's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.