Terreno Realty Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 51.27
| TRNO Stock | USD 68.38 1.10 1.58% |
Closest to current price Terreno long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Terreno |
Terreno Realty Target Price Odds to finish below 51.27
The tendency of Terreno Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 51.27 or more in 90 days |
| 68.38 | 90 days | 51.27 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Terreno Realty to drop to $ 51.27 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Terreno Realty probability density function shows the probability of Terreno Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Terreno Realty price to stay between $ 51.27 and its current price of $68.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.17 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Terreno Realty has a beta of 0.97. This usually implies Terreno Realty market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Terreno Realty is expected to follow. Additionally Terreno Realty has an alpha of 0.1445, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Terreno Realty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Terreno Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Terreno Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Terreno Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Terreno Realty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Terreno Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Terreno Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Terreno Realty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Terreno Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.97 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Terreno Realty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Terreno Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Terreno Realty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Terreno Realty is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Terreno Realty currently holds 771.56 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.35, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Terreno Realty has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Terreno Realty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 98.0% of Terreno Realty shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: A New California Law Could Spell Trouble For Industrial REITs |
Terreno Realty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Terreno Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Terreno Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Terreno Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 165.4 M |
Terreno Realty Technical Analysis
Terreno Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Terreno Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Terreno Realty. In general, you should focus on analyzing Terreno Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Terreno Realty Predictive Forecast Models
Terreno Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Terreno Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Terreno Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Terreno Realty
Checking the ongoing alerts about Terreno Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Terreno Realty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Terreno Realty is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Terreno Realty currently holds 771.56 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.35, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Terreno Realty has a current ratio of 0.66, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Terreno Realty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 98.0% of Terreno Realty shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: A New California Law Could Spell Trouble For Industrial REITs |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Terreno Stock
When determining whether Terreno Realty offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Terreno Realty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Terreno Realty Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Terreno Realty Stock:Check out Terreno Realty Backtesting, Terreno Realty Valuation, Terreno Realty Correlation, Terreno Realty Hype Analysis, Terreno Realty Volatility, Terreno Realty History as well as Terreno Realty Performance. To learn how to invest in Terreno Stock, please use our How to Invest in Terreno Realty guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Terreno Realty. If investors know Terreno will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Terreno Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Dividend Share 1.8 | Revenue Per Share 3.931 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.185 | Return On Assets 0.0218 |
The market value of Terreno Realty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Terreno that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Terreno Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Terreno Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Terreno Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Terreno Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Terreno Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Terreno Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Terreno Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.