Townsquare Media Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.14
| TSQ Stock | USD 12.60 0.27 2.19% |
Townsquare |
Townsquare Media Target Price Odds to finish below 8.14
The tendency of Townsquare Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 8.14 or more in 90 days |
| 12.60 | 90 days | 8.14 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Townsquare Media to drop to $ 8.14 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Townsquare Media probability density function shows the probability of Townsquare Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Townsquare Media price to stay between $ 8.14 and its current price of $12.6 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Townsquare Media has a beta of -0.25. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Townsquare Media are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Townsquare Media is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Townsquare Media has an alpha of 0.2631, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Townsquare Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Townsquare Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Townsquare Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Townsquare Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Townsquare Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Townsquare Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Townsquare Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Townsquare Media, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Townsquare Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Townsquare Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Townsquare Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Townsquare Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the last year's revenue of 454.23 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (44.96 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 134.35 M. | |
| About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Townsquare Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Townsquare Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Townsquare Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Townsquare Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 61 M |
Townsquare Media Technical Analysis
Townsquare Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Townsquare Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Townsquare Media. In general, you should focus on analyzing Townsquare Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Townsquare Media Predictive Forecast Models
Townsquare Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Townsquare Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Townsquare Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Townsquare Media
Checking the ongoing alerts about Townsquare Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Townsquare Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 454.23 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (44.96 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 134.35 M. | |
| About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Check out Townsquare Media Backtesting, Townsquare Media Valuation, Townsquare Media Correlation, Townsquare Media Hype Analysis, Townsquare Media Volatility, Townsquare Media History as well as Townsquare Media Performance. To learn how to invest in Townsquare Stock, please use our How to Invest in Townsquare Media guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Townsquare Stock analysis
When running Townsquare Media's price analysis, check to measure Townsquare Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Townsquare Media is operating at the current time. Most of Townsquare Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Townsquare Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Townsquare Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Townsquare Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Townsquare Media's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Townsquare Media. If investors know Townsquare will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Townsquare Media listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Townsquare Media is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Townsquare that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Townsquare Media's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Townsquare Media's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Townsquare Media's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Townsquare Media's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Townsquare Media's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Townsquare Media is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Townsquare Media's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.