TUESDAY Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0361

TUEM -  USA Stock  

USD 2.25  0.03  1.35%

TUESDAY MORNING's future price is the expected price of TUESDAY MORNING instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TUESDAY MORNING CORP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.

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Additionally, take a look at TUESDAY MORNING Backtesting, TUESDAY MORNING Valuation, TUESDAY MORNING Correlation, TUESDAY MORNING Hype Analysis, TUESDAY MORNING Volatility, TUESDAY MORNING History as well as TUESDAY MORNING Performance. Please specify TUESDAY MORNING time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like TUESDAY MORNING odds to be computed.
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TUESDAY MORNING Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0361

The tendency of TUESDAY Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.0361  or more in 90 days
 2.25 90 days 0.0361  near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TUESDAY MORNING to drop to $ 0.0361  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This TUESDAY MORNING CORP probability density function shows the probability of TUESDAY Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TUESDAY MORNING CORP price to stay between $ 0.0361  and its current price of $2.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.06 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.45 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, TUESDAY MORNING will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. TUESDAY MORNING CORP is significantly underperforming DOW.
 TUESDAY MORNING Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for TUESDAY MORNING

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TUESDAY MORNING CORP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of TUESDAY MORNING's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of TUESDAY MORNING in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.112.2910.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.102.059.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0304011.529.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.673.475.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TUESDAY MORNING. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TUESDAY MORNING's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TUESDAY MORNING's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in TUESDAY MORNING CORP.

TUESDAY MORNING Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TUESDAY MORNING is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TUESDAY MORNING's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TUESDAY MORNING CORP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TUESDAY MORNING within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.65
β
Beta against DOW1.45
σ
Overall volatility
0.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

TUESDAY MORNING Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TUESDAY MORNING for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TUESDAY MORNING CORP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TUESDAY MORNING CORP generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
TUESDAY MORNING CORP has high historical volatility and very poor performance
TUESDAY MORNING CORP has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company currently holds 240.02 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 9.24, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. TUESDAY MORNING CORP has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 812 M. Net Loss for the year was (138.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 284.87 M.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Tuesday Morning Corp CEO Fred Hand Bought 374,920 of Shares - Yahoo Finance

TUESDAY MORNING Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TUESDAY Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TUESDAY MORNING's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TUESDAY MORNING's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares40.42M

TUESDAY MORNING Technical Analysis

TUESDAY MORNING's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TUESDAY Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TUESDAY MORNING CORP. In general, you should focus on analyzing TUESDAY Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TUESDAY MORNING Predictive Forecast Models

TUESDAY MORNING time-series forecasting models is one of many TUESDAY MORNING's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary TUESDAY MORNING's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TUESDAY MORNING CORP

Checking the ongoing alerts about TUESDAY MORNING for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TUESDAY MORNING CORP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

TUESDAY MORNING Alerts

TUESDAY MORNING Alerts and Suggestions

TUESDAY MORNING CORP generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
TUESDAY MORNING CORP has high historical volatility and very poor performance
TUESDAY MORNING CORP has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company currently holds 240.02 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 9.24, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. TUESDAY MORNING CORP has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 812 M. Net Loss for the year was (138.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 284.87 M.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Tuesday Morning Corp CEO Fred Hand Bought 374,920 of Shares - Yahoo Finance
Additionally, take a look at TUESDAY MORNING Backtesting, TUESDAY MORNING Valuation, TUESDAY MORNING Correlation, TUESDAY MORNING Hype Analysis, TUESDAY MORNING Volatility, TUESDAY MORNING History as well as TUESDAY MORNING Performance. Note that the TUESDAY MORNING CORP information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other TUESDAY MORNING's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.

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When running TUESDAY MORNING CORP price analysis, check to measure TUESDAY MORNING's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TUESDAY MORNING is operating at the current time. Most of TUESDAY MORNING's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TUESDAY MORNING's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TUESDAY MORNING's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TUESDAY MORNING to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of TUESDAY MORNING CORP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TUESDAY that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TUESDAY MORNING's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TUESDAY MORNING's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TUESDAY MORNING's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TUESDAY MORNING CORP underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TUESDAY MORNING's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine TUESDAY MORNING value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TUESDAY MORNING's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.