Thrivent Mutual Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.13

TWAAX
 Fund
  

USD 9.13  0.20  2.14%   

Thrivent Partner's future price is the expected price of Thrivent Partner instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Thrivent Partner Worldwide performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Additionally, take a look at Thrivent Partner Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Thrivent Partner Correlation, Thrivent Partner Hype Analysis, Thrivent Partner Volatility, Thrivent Partner History as well as Thrivent Partner Performance. Please specify Thrivent Partner time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Thrivent Partner odds to be computed.

Thrivent Partner Target Price Odds to finish over 9.13

The tendency of Thrivent Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.13 90 days 9.13 
about 48.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thrivent Partner to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 48.83 (This Thrivent Partner Worldwide probability density function shows the probability of Thrivent Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Thrivent Partner has a beta of 0.0037. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Thrivent Partner average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Thrivent Partner Worldwide will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Thrivent Partner Wor is significantly underperforming DOW.
   Thrivent Partner Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Thrivent Partner

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thrivent Partner Wor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Thrivent Partner's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Thrivent Partner in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
7.839.1310.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
7.248.549.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.789.0910.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.059.199.33
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Thrivent Partner. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Thrivent Partner's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Thrivent Partner's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Thrivent Partner Wor.

Thrivent Partner Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thrivent Partner is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thrivent Partner's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thrivent Partner Worldwide, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thrivent Partner within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.06
β
Beta against DOW0.0037
σ
Overall volatility
0.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Thrivent Partner Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thrivent Partner for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thrivent Partner Wor can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Thrivent Partner Wor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Thrivent Partner Wor generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund maintains 100.48% of its assets in stocks

Thrivent Partner Technical Analysis

Thrivent Partner's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thrivent Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thrivent Partner Worldwide. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thrivent Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Thrivent Partner Predictive Forecast Models

Thrivent Partner time-series forecasting models is one of many Thrivent Partner's mutual fund analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Thrivent Partner's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Thrivent Partner Wor

Checking the ongoing alerts about Thrivent Partner for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thrivent Partner Wor help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Thrivent Partner Alerts

Thrivent Partner Alerts and Suggestions

Thrivent Partner Wor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Thrivent Partner Wor generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund maintains 100.48% of its assets in stocks
Additionally, take a look at Thrivent Partner Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Thrivent Partner Correlation, Thrivent Partner Hype Analysis, Thrivent Partner Volatility, Thrivent Partner History as well as Thrivent Partner Performance. Note that the Thrivent Partner Wor information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Thrivent Partner's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

Complementary Tools for Thrivent Mutual Fund analysis

When running Thrivent Partner Wor price analysis, check to measure Thrivent Partner's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thrivent Partner is operating at the current time. Most of Thrivent Partner's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thrivent Partner's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thrivent Partner's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thrivent Partner to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Thrivent Partner's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Thrivent Partner value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Thrivent Partner's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.