Twitter Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 46.16

TWTR -  USA Stock  

USD 42.82  1.12  2.55%

Twitter's future price is the expected price of Twitter instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Twitter performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Twitter Price to Book Value is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Twitter reported last year Price to Book Value of 2.91. As of 12/01/2021, Price to Sales Ratio is likely to grow to 5.34, while Price to Earnings Ratio are likely to drop (31.12) .

Twitter Price Probability 

 
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Twitter's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Twitter. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Twitter based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Twitter over a specific time period. For example, 2021-12-03 CALL at $43.0 is a CALL option contract on Twitter's common stock with a strick price of 43.0 expiring on 2021-12-03. The contract was last traded on 2021-11-30 at 15:59:59 for $1.43 and, as of today, has 2 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.44, and an ask price of $1.56. The implied volatility as of the 1st of December is 60.9005. View All Twitter options

Closest to current price Twitter long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Additionally, take a look at Twitter Backtesting, Twitter Valuation, Twitter Correlation, Twitter Hype Analysis, Twitter Volatility, Twitter History as well as Twitter Performance. Please specify Twitter time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Twitter odds to be computed.
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Twitter Target Price Odds to finish over 46.16

The tendency of Twitter Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for foresting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 46.16  or more in 90 days
 42.82 90 days 46.16  about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Twitter to move over $ 46.16  or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Twitter probability density function shows the probability of Twitter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Twitter price to stay between its current price of $ 42.82  and $ 46.16  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.7 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.38 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Twitter will likely underperform. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Twitter is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Twitter Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Twitter

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Twitter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Twitter's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Twitter in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
41.1443.7646.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
39.8557.0559.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
41.1243.7446.36
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
55.0072.9295.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Twitter. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Twitter's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Twitter's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Twitter.

Twitter Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Twitter is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Twitter's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Twitter, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Twitter within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.46
β
Beta against DOW1.38
σ
Overall volatility
6.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Twitter Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Twitter for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Twitter can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Twitter generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Twitter Buy The Drop - Seeking Alpha

Twitter Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Twitter Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Twitter's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Twitter's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.73%
Short Percent Of Float3.14%
Float Shares775.84M
Shares Short Prior Month19.92M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day17.56M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month13.27M
Date Short Interest13th of August 2021

Twitter Technical Analysis

Twitter's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Twitter Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Twitter. In general, you should focus on analyzing Twitter Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Twitter Predictive Forecast Models

Twitter time-series forecasting models is one of many Twitter's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Twitter's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Twitter

Checking the ongoing alerts about Twitter for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Twitter help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Twitter Alerts

Twitter Alerts and Suggestions

Twitter generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Twitter Buy The Drop - Seeking Alpha
Additionally, take a look at Twitter Backtesting, Twitter Valuation, Twitter Correlation, Twitter Hype Analysis, Twitter Volatility, Twitter History as well as Twitter Performance. Note that the Twitter information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Twitter's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fund Screener module to find activelly-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Twitter Stock analysis

When running Twitter price analysis, check to measure Twitter's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Twitter is operating at the current time. Most of Twitter's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Twitter's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Twitter's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Twitter to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Twitter's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Twitter. If investors know Twitter will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Twitter listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Twitter is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Twitter that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Twitter's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Twitter's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Twitter's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Twitter's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Twitter's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Twitter value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Twitter's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.