Urban One Class Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.95
| UONEK Stock | USD 1.57 0.04 2.48% |
Closest to current price Urban long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Urban |
Urban One Target Price Odds to finish over 9.95
The tendency of Urban Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 9.95 or more in 90 days |
| 1.57 | 90 days | 9.95 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Urban One to move over $ 9.95 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Urban One Class probability density function shows the probability of Urban Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Urban One Class price to stay between its current price of $ 1.57 and $ 9.95 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Urban One has a beta of 0.92. This usually implies Urban One Class market returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Urban One is expected to follow. Additionally Urban One Class has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Urban One Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Urban One
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Urban One Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Urban One's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Urban One Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Urban One is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Urban One's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Urban One Class, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Urban One within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -1.33 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.92 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.35 |
Urban One Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Urban One for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Urban One Class can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Urban One Class generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Urban One Class may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Urban One Class has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Urban One faces Nasdaq delisting over late annual report |
Urban One Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Urban Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Urban One's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Urban One's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 75.4 M |
Urban One Technical Analysis
Urban One's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Urban Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Urban One Class. In general, you should focus on analyzing Urban Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Urban One Predictive Forecast Models
Urban One's time-series forecasting models is one of many Urban One's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Urban One's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Urban One Class
Checking the ongoing alerts about Urban One for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Urban One Class help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Urban One Class generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Urban One Class may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Urban One Class has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Urban One faces Nasdaq delisting over late annual report |
Check out Urban One Backtesting, Urban One Valuation, Urban One Correlation, Urban One Hype Analysis, Urban One Volatility, Urban One History as well as Urban One Performance. For more information on how to buy Urban Stock please use our How to buy in Urban Stock guide.Note that the Urban One Class information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Urban One's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Complementary Tools for Urban Stock analysis
When running Urban One's price analysis, check to measure Urban One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Urban One is operating at the current time. Most of Urban One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Urban One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Urban One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Urban One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Urban One's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Urban One. If investors know Urban will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Urban One listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.633 | Earnings Share 0.3 | Revenue Per Share 10.315 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets 0.0569 |
The market value of Urban One Class is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Urban that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Urban One's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Urban One's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Urban One's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Urban One's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Urban One's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Urban One is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Urban One's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.