Urbi Desarrollos (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 112.71
| URBI Stock | MXN 109.03 0.00 0.00% |
Urbi |
Urbi Desarrollos Target Price Odds to finish over 112.71
The tendency of Urbi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 112.71 or more in 90 days |
| 109.03 | 90 days | 112.71 | nearly 4.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Urbi Desarrollos to move over 112.71 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.81 (This Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos probability density function shows the probability of Urbi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos price to stay between its current price of 109.03 and 112.71 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos has a beta of -63.05. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Urbi Desarrollos is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Urbi Desarrollos Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Urbi Desarrollos
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Urbi Desarrollos' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Urbi Desarrollos Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Urbi Desarrollos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Urbi Desarrollos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Urbi Desarrollos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -103.97 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -63.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 46.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Urbi Desarrollos Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Urbi Desarrollos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Urbi Desarrollos generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Urbi Desarrollos has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos has accumulated 457.22 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 16.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Urbi Desarrollos until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Urbi Desarrollos' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Urbi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Urbi Desarrollos' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 325.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (116.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 117.97 M. | |
| About 48.0% of Urbi Desarrollos outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Urbi Desarrollos Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Urbi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Urbi Desarrollos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Urbi Desarrollos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.6 M |
Urbi Desarrollos Technical Analysis
Urbi Desarrollos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Urbi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos. In general, you should focus on analyzing Urbi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Urbi Desarrollos Predictive Forecast Models
Urbi Desarrollos' time-series forecasting models is one of many Urbi Desarrollos' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Urbi Desarrollos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos
Checking the ongoing alerts about Urbi Desarrollos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Urbi Desarrollos generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Urbi Desarrollos has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos has accumulated 457.22 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 16.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Urbi Desarrollos until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Urbi Desarrollos' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Urbi Desarrollos Urbanos sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Urbi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Urbi Desarrollos' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 325.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (116.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 117.97 M. | |
| About 48.0% of Urbi Desarrollos outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Additional Tools for Urbi Stock Analysis
When running Urbi Desarrollos' price analysis, check to measure Urbi Desarrollos' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Urbi Desarrollos is operating at the current time. Most of Urbi Desarrollos' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Urbi Desarrollos' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Urbi Desarrollos' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Urbi Desarrollos to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.