AMC ENTMT HLDGS Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 59.2
| 00165CAB0 | 61.60 6.95 12.72% |
00165CAB0 |
00165CAB0 Target Price Odds to finish below 59.2
The tendency of 00165CAB0 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 59.20 or more in 90 days |
| 61.60 | 90 days | 59.20 | about 62.14 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 00165CAB0 to drop to 59.20 or more in 90 days from now is about 62.14 (This AMC ENTMT HLDGS probability density function shows the probability of 00165CAB0 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AMC ENTMT HLDGS price to stay between 59.20 and its current price of 61.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AMC ENTMT HLDGS has a beta of -0.0523. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 00165CAB0 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AMC ENTMT HLDGS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AMC ENTMT HLDGS has an alpha of 0.9402, implying that it can generate a 0.94 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). 00165CAB0 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 00165CAB0
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMC ENTMT HLDGS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 00165CAB0's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
00165CAB0 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 00165CAB0 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 00165CAB0's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AMC ENTMT HLDGS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 00165CAB0 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.94 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
00165CAB0 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 00165CAB0 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AMC ENTMT HLDGS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AMC ENTMT HLDGS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
00165CAB0 Technical Analysis
00165CAB0's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 00165CAB0 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AMC ENTMT HLDGS. In general, you should focus on analyzing 00165CAB0 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
00165CAB0 Predictive Forecast Models
00165CAB0's time-series forecasting models is one of many 00165CAB0's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 00165CAB0's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AMC ENTMT HLDGS
Checking the ongoing alerts about 00165CAB0 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AMC ENTMT HLDGS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AMC ENTMT HLDGS had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days |
Check out 00165CAB0 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 00165CAB0 Correlation, 00165CAB0 Hype Analysis, 00165CAB0 Volatility, 00165CAB0 History as well as 00165CAB0 Performance. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.