ARCELORMITTAL LUXEMBOURG 675 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 101.37

03938LAS3   101.37  1.65  1.60%   
ARCELORMITTAL's future price is the expected price of ARCELORMITTAL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ARCELORMITTAL LUXEMBOURG 675 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ARCELORMITTAL Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ARCELORMITTAL Correlation, ARCELORMITTAL Hype Analysis, ARCELORMITTAL Volatility, ARCELORMITTAL History as well as ARCELORMITTAL Performance.
Please specify ARCELORMITTAL's target price for which you would like ARCELORMITTAL odds to be computed.

ARCELORMITTAL Target Price Odds to finish over 101.37

The tendency of ARCELORMITTAL Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 101.37 90 days 101.37 
about 5.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ARCELORMITTAL to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.7 (This ARCELORMITTAL LUXEMBOURG 675 probability density function shows the probability of ARCELORMITTAL Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ARCELORMITTAL has a beta of 0.43. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, ARCELORMITTAL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ARCELORMITTAL LUXEMBOURG 675 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0563, implying that it can generate a 0.0563 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ARCELORMITTAL Price Density   

Predictive Modules for ARCELORMITTAL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ARCELORMITTAL LUXEMB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of ARCELORMITTAL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of ARCELORMITTAL in the context of predictive analytics.
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ARCELORMITTAL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ARCELORMITTAL's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ARCELORMITTAL's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ARCELORMITTAL LUXEMB.


For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ARCELORMITTAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ARCELORMITTAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ARCELORMITTAL LUXEMBOURG 675, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ARCELORMITTAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
Alpha over NYSE Composite
Beta against NYSE Composite0.43
Overall volatility
Information ratio 0.03

ARCELORMITTAL Technical Analysis

ARCELORMITTAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ARCELORMITTAL Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ARCELORMITTAL LUXEMBOURG 675. In general, you should focus on analyzing ARCELORMITTAL Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ARCELORMITTAL Predictive Forecast Models

ARCELORMITTAL's time-series forecasting models is one of many ARCELORMITTAL's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ARCELORMITTAL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards ARCELORMITTAL in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, ARCELORMITTAL's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from ARCELORMITTAL options trading.
Check out ARCELORMITTAL Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ARCELORMITTAL Correlation, ARCELORMITTAL Hype Analysis, ARCELORMITTAL Volatility, ARCELORMITTAL History as well as ARCELORMITTAL Performance.
Note that the ARCELORMITTAL LUXEMB information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ARCELORMITTAL's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for ARCELORMITTAL Bond analysis

When running ARCELORMITTAL's price analysis, check to measure ARCELORMITTAL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ARCELORMITTAL is operating at the current time. Most of ARCELORMITTAL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ARCELORMITTAL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ARCELORMITTAL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ARCELORMITTAL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between ARCELORMITTAL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ARCELORMITTAL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ARCELORMITTAL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.