GENERAL DYNAMICS P Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 91.83
| 369550AZ1 | 91.92 0.14 0.15% |
GENERAL |
GENERAL Target Price Odds to finish below 91.83
The tendency of GENERAL Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 91.83 or more in 90 days |
| 91.92 | 90 days | 91.83 | about 14.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GENERAL to drop to 91.83 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.71 (This GENERAL DYNAMICS P probability density function shows the probability of GENERAL Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GENERAL DYNAMICS P price to stay between 91.83 and its current price of 91.92 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GENERAL has a beta of 0.45. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, GENERAL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GENERAL DYNAMICS P will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GENERAL DYNAMICS P has an alpha of 0.0341, implying that it can generate a 0.0341 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GENERAL Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for GENERAL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GENERAL DYNAMICS P. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GENERAL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GENERAL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GENERAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GENERAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GENERAL DYNAMICS P, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GENERAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
GENERAL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GENERAL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GENERAL DYNAMICS P can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| GENERAL DYNAMICS P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
GENERAL Technical Analysis
GENERAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GENERAL Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GENERAL DYNAMICS P. In general, you should focus on analyzing GENERAL Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GENERAL Predictive Forecast Models
GENERAL's time-series forecasting models is one of many GENERAL's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GENERAL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GENERAL DYNAMICS P
Checking the ongoing alerts about GENERAL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GENERAL DYNAMICS P help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| GENERAL DYNAMICS P generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Check out GENERAL Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, GENERAL Correlation, GENERAL Hype Analysis, GENERAL Volatility, GENERAL History as well as GENERAL Performance. Note that the GENERAL DYNAMICS P information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other GENERAL's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.