GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 92.22

369550AZ1   92.39  0.31  0.34%   
GENERAL's future price is the expected price of GENERAL instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
Check out GENERAL Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, GENERAL Correlation, GENERAL Hype Analysis, GENERAL Volatility, GENERAL History as well as GENERAL Performance. Please specify GENERAL time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like GENERAL odds to be computed.

GENERAL Target Price Odds to finish over 92.22

The tendency of GENERAL Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  92.22  in 90 days
 92.39 90 days 92.22 
about 59.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GENERAL to stay above  92.22  in 90 days from now is about 59.71 (This GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP probability density function shows the probability of GENERAL Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP price to stay between  92.22  and its current price of 92.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP has a beta of -0.051. This usually implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding GENERAL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   GENERAL Price Density   

Predictive Modules for GENERAL

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of GENERAL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of GENERAL in the context of predictive analytics.
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GENERAL. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GENERAL's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GENERAL's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP.

GENERAL Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GENERAL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GENERAL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GENERAL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
Alpha over NYSE Composite
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.05
Overall volatility
Information ratio 0.020608

GENERAL Technical Analysis

GENERAL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GENERAL Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP. In general, you should focus on analyzing GENERAL Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

GENERAL Predictive Forecast Models

GENERAL's time-series forecasting models is one of many GENERAL's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GENERAL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards GENERAL in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, GENERAL's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from GENERAL options trading.
Check out GENERAL Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, GENERAL Correlation, GENERAL Hype Analysis, GENERAL Volatility, GENERAL History as well as GENERAL Performance. Note that the GENERAL DYNAMICS CORP information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other GENERAL's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Complementary Tools for GENERAL Bond analysis

When running GENERAL's price analysis, check to measure GENERAL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GENERAL is operating at the current time. Most of GENERAL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GENERAL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GENERAL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GENERAL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between GENERAL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GENERAL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GENERAL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.