PROCTER GAMBLE 555 Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 110.08
| 742718DF3 | 110.08 6.65 6.43% |
PROCTER |
PROCTER Target Price Odds to finish over 110.08
The tendency of PROCTER Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 110.08 | 90 days | 110.08 | about 11.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PROCTER to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.21 (This PROCTER GAMBLE 555 probability density function shows the probability of PROCTER Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PROCTER has a beta of 0.27. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, PROCTER average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PROCTER GAMBLE 555 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PROCTER GAMBLE 555 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. PROCTER Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for PROCTER
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PROCTER GAMBLE 555. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PROCTER's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PROCTER Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PROCTER is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PROCTER's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PROCTER GAMBLE 555, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PROCTER within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0001 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
PROCTER Technical Analysis
PROCTER's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PROCTER Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PROCTER GAMBLE 555. In general, you should focus on analyzing PROCTER Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PROCTER Predictive Forecast Models
PROCTER's time-series forecasting models is one of many PROCTER's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PROCTER's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards PROCTER in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, PROCTER's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from PROCTER options trading.
Check out PROCTER Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, PROCTER Correlation, PROCTER Hype Analysis, PROCTER Volatility, PROCTER History as well as PROCTER Performance. Note that the PROCTER GAMBLE 555 information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other PROCTER's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.