PROCTER GAMBLE 245 Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 93.96

742718ER6   93.96  0.21  0.22%   
PROCTER's future price is the expected price of PROCTER instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PROCTER GAMBLE 245 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PROCTER Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, PROCTER Correlation, PROCTER Hype Analysis, PROCTER Volatility, PROCTER History as well as PROCTER Performance.
  
Please specify PROCTER's target price for which you would like PROCTER odds to be computed.

PROCTER Target Price Odds to finish below 93.96

The tendency of PROCTER Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 93.96 90 days 93.96 
about 16.25
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PROCTER to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 16.25 (This PROCTER GAMBLE 245 probability density function shows the probability of PROCTER Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PROCTER has a beta of 0.42. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, PROCTER average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PROCTER GAMBLE 245 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PROCTER GAMBLE 245 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   PROCTER Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PROCTER

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PROCTER GAMBLE 245. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PROCTER's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.7093.9694.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
84.5695.2895.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.0496.3096.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
91.9694.7197.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PROCTER. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PROCTER's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PROCTER's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PROCTER GAMBLE 245.

PROCTER Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PROCTER is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PROCTER's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PROCTER GAMBLE 245, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PROCTER within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.42
σ
Overall volatility
0.99
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

PROCTER Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PROCTER for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PROCTER GAMBLE 245 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PROCTER GAMBLE 245 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

PROCTER Technical Analysis

PROCTER's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PROCTER Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PROCTER GAMBLE 245. In general, you should focus on analyzing PROCTER Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PROCTER Predictive Forecast Models

PROCTER's time-series forecasting models is one of many PROCTER's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PROCTER's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PROCTER GAMBLE 245

Checking the ongoing alerts about PROCTER for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PROCTER GAMBLE 245 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PROCTER GAMBLE 245 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Check out PROCTER Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, PROCTER Correlation, PROCTER Hype Analysis, PROCTER Volatility, PROCTER History as well as PROCTER Performance.
Note that the PROCTER GAMBLE 245 information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other PROCTER's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PROCTER's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PROCTER is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PROCTER's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.