TARGET P 7 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 112.22

87612EAF3   112.22  0.00  0.00%   
TARGET's future price is the expected price of TARGET instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TARGET P 7 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TARGET Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, TARGET Correlation, TARGET Hype Analysis, TARGET Volatility, TARGET History as well as TARGET Performance.
For information on how to trade TARGET Bond refer to our How to Trade TARGET Bond guide.
  
Please specify TARGET's target price for which you would like TARGET odds to be computed.

TARGET Target Price Odds to finish over 112.22

The tendency of TARGET Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 112.22 90 days 112.22 
about 54.85
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TARGET to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 54.85 (This TARGET P 7 probability density function shows the probability of TARGET Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TARGET P 7 has a beta of -0.0069. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding TARGET are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, TARGET P 7 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally TARGET P 7 has an alpha of 0.0089, implying that it can generate a 0.008907 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TARGET Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TARGET

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TARGET P 7. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TARGET's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
111.31112.22113.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
98.7699.67123.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TARGET. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TARGET's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TARGET's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TARGET P 7.

TARGET Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TARGET is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TARGET's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TARGET P 7, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TARGET within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.0069
σ
Overall volatility
2.87
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

TARGET Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TARGET for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TARGET P 7 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TARGET P 7 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

TARGET Technical Analysis

TARGET's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TARGET Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TARGET P 7. In general, you should focus on analyzing TARGET Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TARGET Predictive Forecast Models

TARGET's time-series forecasting models is one of many TARGET's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TARGET's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TARGET P 7

Checking the ongoing alerts about TARGET for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TARGET P 7 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TARGET P 7 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Check out TARGET Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, TARGET Correlation, TARGET Hype Analysis, TARGET Volatility, TARGET History as well as TARGET Performance.
For information on how to trade TARGET Bond refer to our How to Trade TARGET Bond guide.
Note that the TARGET P 7 information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other TARGET's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TARGET's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TARGET is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TARGET's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.