Societe Generale 7875 Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 99.10

F8586CRW4   99.10  0.03  0.0303%   
Societe's future price is the expected price of Societe instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Societe Generale 7875 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Societe Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Societe Correlation, Societe Hype Analysis, Societe Volatility, Societe History as well as Societe Performance. Please specify Societe time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Societe odds to be computed.
  

Societe Target Price Odds to finish over 99.10

The tendency of Societe Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 99.10 90 days 99.10 
about 35.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Societe to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 35.03 (This Societe Generale 7875 probability density function shows the probability of Societe Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Societe Generale 7875 has a beta of -0.1. This usually implies as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Societe are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, however, Societe Generale 7875 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0398, implying that it can generate a 0.0398 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Societe Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Societe

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Societe Generale 7875. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Societe's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Societe in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.9599.10100.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
91.2392.38109.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
100.03101.18102.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
98.4699.1899.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Societe. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Societe's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Societe's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Societe Generale 7875.

Societe Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Societe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Societe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Societe Generale 7875, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Societe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.039787
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
1.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Societe Technical Analysis

Societe's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Societe Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Societe Generale 7875. In general, you should focus on analyzing Societe Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Societe Predictive Forecast Models

Societe's time-series forecasting models is one of many Societe's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Societe's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Societe in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Societe's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Societe options trading.
Check out Societe Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Societe Correlation, Societe Hype Analysis, Societe Volatility, Societe History as well as Societe Performance. Note that the Societe Generale 7875 information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Societe's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

Complementary Tools for Societe Bond analysis

When running Societe's price analysis, check to measure Societe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Societe is operating at the current time. Most of Societe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Societe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Societe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Societe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Societe's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Societe is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Societe's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.