Usio Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.51

USIO Stock  USD 1.51  0.07  4.43%   
Usio's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Usio Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Usio based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Usio Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2024-04-19 PUT at $2.5 is a PUT option contract on Usio's common stock with a strick price of 2.5 expiring on 2024-04-19. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-04 at 15:24:25 for $1.0 and, as of today, has 3 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.6, and an ask price of $1.3. The implied volatility as of the 16th of April 2024 is 1015.77. View All Usio options

Closest to current price Usio long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Usio's future price is the expected price of Usio instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Usio Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Usio Backtesting, Usio Valuation, Usio Correlation, Usio Hype Analysis, Usio Volatility, Usio History as well as Usio Performance.
  
At this time, Usio's Price Fair Value is very stable compared to the past year. Please specify Usio's target price for which you would like Usio odds to be computed.

Usio Target Price Odds to finish over 1.51

The tendency of Usio Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.51 90 days 1.51 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Usio to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Usio Inc probability density function shows the probability of Usio Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.06 . This usually implies Usio Inc market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Usio is expected to follow. Additionally Usio Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Usio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Usio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Usio Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Usio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.504.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.272.985.69
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.677.338.14
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.020.020.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Usio. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Usio's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Usio's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Usio Inc.

Usio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Usio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Usio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Usio Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Usio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.39
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.10
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Usio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Usio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Usio Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Usio Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Usio Inc may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 82.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (475.1 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.59 M.
About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1200 shares by Michael White of Usio subject to Rule 16b-3

Usio Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Usio Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Usio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Usio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.2 M

Usio Technical Analysis

Usio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Usio Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Usio Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Usio Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Usio Predictive Forecast Models

Usio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Usio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Usio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Usio Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Usio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Usio Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Usio Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Usio Inc may become a speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 82.59 M. Net Loss for the year was (475.1 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.59 M.
About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1200 shares by Michael White of Usio subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether Usio Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Usio's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Usio Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Usio Inc Stock:
Check out Usio Backtesting, Usio Valuation, Usio Correlation, Usio Hype Analysis, Usio Volatility, Usio History as well as Usio Performance.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for Usio Stock analysis

When running Usio's price analysis, check to measure Usio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Usio is operating at the current time. Most of Usio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Usio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Usio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Usio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Usio's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Usio. If investors know Usio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Usio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.02)
Revenue Per Share
4.108
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.035
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Return On Equity
(0.03)
The market value of Usio Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Usio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Usio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Usio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Usio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Usio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Usio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Usio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Usio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.