BANORT 8 38 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 78.28

P1400MAC2   103.05  0.10  0.1%   
BANORT's future price is the expected price of BANORT instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BANORT 8 38 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BANORT Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, BANORT Correlation, BANORT Hype Analysis, BANORT Volatility, BANORT History as well as BANORT Performance.
  
Please specify BANORT's target price for which you would like BANORT odds to be computed.

BANORT Target Price Odds to finish below 78.28

The tendency of BANORT Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  78.28  or more in 90 days
 103.05 90 days 78.28 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BANORT to drop to  78.28  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BANORT 8 38 probability density function shows the probability of BANORT Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BANORT 8 38 price to stay between  78.28  and its current price of 103.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BANORT 8 38 has a beta of -0.4. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BANORT are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BANORT 8 38 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BANORT 8 38 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BANORT Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BANORT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BANORT 8 38. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
93.1794.6296.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
79.8681.31104.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
89.1490.5992.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
91.26100.59109.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BANORT. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BANORT's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BANORT's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BANORT 8 38.

BANORT Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BANORT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BANORT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BANORT 8 38, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BANORT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.4
σ
Overall volatility
2.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

BANORT Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BANORT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BANORT 8 38 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BANORT 8 38 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

BANORT Technical Analysis

BANORT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BANORT Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BANORT 8 38. In general, you should focus on analyzing BANORT Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BANORT Predictive Forecast Models

BANORT's time-series forecasting models is one of many BANORT's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BANORT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BANORT 8 38

Checking the ongoing alerts about BANORT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BANORT 8 38 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BANORT 8 38 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in BANORT Bond

BANORT financial ratios help investors to determine whether BANORT Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BANORT with respect to the benefits of owning BANORT security.