Visa Class A Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 274.49

V Stock  USD 274.49  0.26  0.09%   
Visa's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Visa Class A. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Visa based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Visa Class A over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-31 CALL at $275.0 is a CALL option contract on Visa's common stock with a strick price of 275.0 expiring on 2024-05-31. The contract was last traded on 2024-05-24 at 15:59:43 for $1.64 and, as of today, has 4 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.59, and an ask price of $1.73. The implied volatility as of the 26th of May is 12.73. View All Visa options

Closest to current price Visa long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Visa's future price is the expected price of Visa instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Visa Class A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Visa Backtesting, Visa Valuation, Visa Correlation, Visa Hype Analysis, Visa Volatility, Visa History as well as Visa Performance.
  
At this time, Visa's Price Earnings Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price Book Value Ratio is likely to climb to 11.49 in 2024, whereas Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to drop 26.12 in 2024. Please specify Visa's target price for which you would like Visa odds to be computed.

Visa Target Price Odds to finish over 274.49

The tendency of Visa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 274.49 90 days 274.49 
about 73.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Visa to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 73.09 (This Visa Class A probability density function shows the probability of Visa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon Visa has a beta of 0.59. This entails as returns on the market go up, Visa average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Visa Class A will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Visa Class A has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Visa Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Visa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Visa Class A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Visa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
273.92274.68275.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
267.75268.51301.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
268.54269.30270.06
Details
37 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
237.12260.57289.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Visa. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Visa's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Visa's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Visa Class A.

Visa Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Visa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Visa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Visa Class A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Visa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.08
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.59
σ
Overall volatility
5.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Visa Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Visa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Visa Class A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Visa Class A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Five startups selected for the 2024 Visa Accelerator Program in Asia Pacific to tackle Gen AI and embedded finance solutions

Visa Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Visa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Visa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Visa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments20.1 B

Visa Technical Analysis

Visa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Visa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Visa Class A. In general, you should focus on analyzing Visa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Visa Predictive Forecast Models

Visa's time-series forecasting models is one of many Visa's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Visa's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Visa Class A

Checking the ongoing alerts about Visa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Visa Class A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Visa Class A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Five startups selected for the 2024 Visa Accelerator Program in Asia Pacific to tackle Gen AI and embedded finance solutions
When determining whether Visa Class A is a strong investment it is important to analyze Visa's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Visa's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Visa Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Visa Backtesting, Visa Valuation, Visa Correlation, Visa Hype Analysis, Visa Volatility, Visa History as well as Visa Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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When running Visa's price analysis, check to measure Visa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Visa is operating at the current time. Most of Visa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Visa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Visa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Visa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Visa's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Visa. If investors know Visa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Visa listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.124
Dividend Share
2.01
Earnings Share
8.95
Revenue Per Share
16.876
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.099
The market value of Visa Class A is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Visa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Visa's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Visa's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Visa's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Visa's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Visa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Visa is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Visa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.