Visa Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 309.0

V
 Stock
  

USD 199.18  2.29  1.16%   

Visa's future price is the expected price of Visa instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Visa Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Price to Book Value is likely to drop to 4.28 in 2022. Price to Earnings Ratio is likely to drop to 37.70 in 2022.
  
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Visa's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Visa Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Visa based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Visa Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2022-07-08 CALL at $200.0 is a CALL option contract on Visa's common stock with a strick price of 200.0 expiring on 2022-07-08. The contract was last traded on 2022-07-01 at 15:57:03 for $2.52 and, as of today, has 6 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $2.6, and an ask price of $2.81. The implied volatility as of the 2nd of July is 27.9682. View All Visa options

Closest to current price Visa long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Also, please take a look at Visa Backtesting, Visa Valuation, Visa Correlation, Visa Hype Analysis, Visa Volatility, Visa History as well as Visa Performance. Please specify Visa time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Visa odds to be computed.
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Visa Target Price Odds to finish over 309.0

The tendency of Visa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 309.00  or more in 90 days
 199.18 90 days 309.00  close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Visa to move over $ 309.00  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Visa Inc probability density function shows the probability of Visa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Visa Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 199.18  and $ 309.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.91 .
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.33 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Visa will likely underperform. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.0676, implying that it can generate a 0.0676 percent excess return over DOW after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
 Visa Price Density 
      Price 

Predictive Modules for Visa

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Visa Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Visa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Visa in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
197.20199.52201.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
179.26236.13238.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
204.60206.92209.25
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
220.00270.26309.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Visa. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Visa's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Visa's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Visa Inc.

Visa Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Visa is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Visa's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Visa Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Visa within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.07
β
Beta against DOW1.33
σ
Overall volatility
9.96
Ir
Information ratio 0.002099

Visa Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Visa for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Visa Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Visa Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Visa Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Visa Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.marketwatch.com: Exercise or conversion by Alfred Kelly of 3000 shares of Visa subject to Rule 16b-3

Visa Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Visa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Visa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Visa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.27%
Short Percent Of Float1.62%
Float Shares1.64B
Shares Short Prior Month26.5M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day7.01M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month7.35M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022

Visa Technical Analysis

Visa's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Visa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Visa Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Visa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Visa Predictive Forecast Models

Visa time-series forecasting models is one of many Visa's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Visa's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Visa Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Visa for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Visa Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Visa Alerts

Visa Alerts and Suggestions

Visa Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Visa Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Visa Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.marketwatch.com: Exercise or conversion by Alfred Kelly of 3000 shares of Visa subject to Rule 16b-3
Also, please take a look at Visa Backtesting, Visa Valuation, Visa Correlation, Visa Hype Analysis, Visa Volatility, Visa History as well as Visa Performance. Note that the Visa Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Visa's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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When running Visa Inc price analysis, check to measure Visa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Visa is operating at the current time. Most of Visa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Visa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Visa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Visa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Visa's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Visa. If investors know Visa will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Visa listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
0.23
Market Capitalization
416.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.26
Return On Assets
0.14
Return On Equity
0.37
The market value of Visa Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Visa that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Visa's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Visa's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Visa's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Visa's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Visa's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Visa value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Visa's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.