Vivani Medical Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.92

VANI Stock  USD 1.92  0.10  4.95%   
Vivani Medical's future price is the expected price of Vivani Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vivani Medical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vivani Medical Backtesting, Vivani Medical Valuation, Vivani Medical Correlation, Vivani Medical Hype Analysis, Vivani Medical Volatility, Vivani Medical History as well as Vivani Medical Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Vivani Stock please use our How to Invest in Vivani Medical guide.
  
As of now, Vivani Medical's Price Book Value Ratio is increasing as compared to previous years. The Vivani Medical's current Price To Book Ratio is estimated to increase to 2.62, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 28.23. Please specify Vivani Medical's target price for which you would like Vivani Medical odds to be computed.

Vivani Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 1.92

The tendency of Vivani Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.92 90 days 1.92 
about 32.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vivani Medical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 32.72 (This Vivani Medical probability density function shows the probability of Vivani Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vivani Medical has a beta of -2.19. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Vivani Medical are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Vivani Medical is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Vivani Medical has an alpha of 3.3104, implying that it can generate a 3.31 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vivani Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vivani Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vivani Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vivani Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.5736.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.4237.05
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.644.004.44
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.12-0.12-0.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vivani Medical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vivani Medical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vivani Medical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vivani Medical.

Vivani Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vivani Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vivani Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vivani Medical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vivani Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
3.31
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-2.19
σ
Overall volatility
0.67
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Vivani Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vivani Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vivani Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vivani Medical is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Vivani Medical may become a speculative penny stock
Vivani Medical appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Vivani Medical has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (25.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 130 K.
Vivani Medical currently holds about 3.45 M in cash with (23.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.28.
Vivani Medical has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from hawaiinewsnow.com: Scientists find tiny marine worm with enormous eyes that see as well as mammals

Vivani Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vivani Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vivani Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vivani Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments20.7 M

Vivani Medical Technical Analysis

Vivani Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vivani Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vivani Medical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vivani Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vivani Medical Predictive Forecast Models

Vivani Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vivani Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vivani Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vivani Medical

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vivani Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vivani Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vivani Medical is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Vivani Medical may become a speculative penny stock
Vivani Medical appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Vivani Medical has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (25.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 130 K.
Vivani Medical currently holds about 3.45 M in cash with (23.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.28.
Vivani Medical has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from hawaiinewsnow.com: Scientists find tiny marine worm with enormous eyes that see as well as mammals
When determining whether Vivani Medical offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Vivani Medical's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vivani Medical Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vivani Medical Stock:
Check out Vivani Medical Backtesting, Vivani Medical Valuation, Vivani Medical Correlation, Vivani Medical Hype Analysis, Vivani Medical Volatility, Vivani Medical History as well as Vivani Medical Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Vivani Stock please use our How to Invest in Vivani Medical guide.
You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.

Complementary Tools for Vivani Stock analysis

When running Vivani Medical's price analysis, check to measure Vivani Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vivani Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Vivani Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vivani Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vivani Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vivani Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
ETF Categories
List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Portfolio Center
All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Is Vivani Medical's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vivani Medical. If investors know Vivani will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vivani Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.50)
Return On Assets
(0.35)
Return On Equity
(0.79)
The market value of Vivani Medical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vivani that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vivani Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vivani Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vivani Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vivani Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vivani Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vivani Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vivani Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.