Vanguard Small Cap Index Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 223.08
| VB Etf | USD 211.21 1.46 0.69% |
Closest to current price Vanguard long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Vanguard |
Vanguard Small Target Price Odds to finish below 223.08
The tendency of Vanguard Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 223.08 after 90 days |
| 211.21 | 90 days | 223.08 | about 82.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Small to stay under $ 223.08 after 90 days from now is about 82.25 (This Vanguard Small Cap Index probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vanguard Small Cap price to stay between its current price of $ 211.21 and $ 223.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.59 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Vanguard Small has a beta of 0.36. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vanguard Small average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard Small Cap Index will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard Small Cap Index has an alpha of 0.0236, implying that it can generate a 0.0236 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vanguard Small Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Vanguard Small
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vanguard Small Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Small Cap Index, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.67 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0052 |
Vanguard Small Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from zacks.com: Should iShares Core SP Small-Cap ETF Be on Your Investing Radar | |
| The fund keeps 97.71% of its net assets in stocks |
Vanguard Small Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vanguard Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vanguard Small's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vanguard Small's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Vanguard Small Technical Analysis
Vanguard Small's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vanguard Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanguard Small Cap Index. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vanguard Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vanguard Small Predictive Forecast Models
Vanguard Small's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanguard Small's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vanguard Small's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vanguard Small Cap
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Should iShares Core SP Small-Cap ETF Be on Your Investing Radar | |
| The fund keeps 97.71% of its net assets in stocks |
Check out Vanguard Small Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vanguard Small Correlation, Vanguard Small Hype Analysis, Vanguard Small Volatility, Vanguard Small History as well as Vanguard Small Performance. Note that the Vanguard Small Cap information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vanguard Small's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
The market value of Vanguard Small Cap is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard Small's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard Small's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vanguard Small's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard Small's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.