Village Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 55.50

VBFC Stock  USD 55.50  1.54  2.70%   
Village Bank's future price is the expected price of Village Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Village Bank And performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility.
  
Also, please take a look at Village Bank Backtesting, Village Bank Valuation, Village Bank Correlation, Village Bank Hype Analysis, Village Bank Volatility, Village Bank History as well as Village Bank Performance. Please specify Village Bank time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like Village Bank odds to be computed.

Village Bank Target Price Odds to finish over 55.50

The tendency of Village Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 55.50 90 days 55.50 
about 28.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Village Bank to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 28.96 (This Village Bank And probability density function shows the probability of Village Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Village Bank has a beta of 0.0569. This entails as returns on the market go up, Village Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Village Bank And will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The company has an alpha of 0.2218, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Village Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Village Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Village Bank And. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Village Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Village Bank in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
53.6555.4957.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
49.9564.4566.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
51.9553.7955.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
52.8156.0759.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Village Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Village Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Village Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Village Bank And.

Village Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Village Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Village Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Village Bank And, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Village Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.22
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.06
σ
Overall volatility
2.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Village Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Village Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Village Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Village Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 M

Village Bank Technical Analysis

Village Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Village Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Village Bank And. In general, you should focus on analyzing Village Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Village Bank Predictive Forecast Models

Village Bank time-series forecasting models is one of many Village Bank's stock analysis techniquest aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Village Bank's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Village Bank in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Village Bank's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Village Bank options trading.
Also, please take a look at Village Bank Backtesting, Village Bank Valuation, Village Bank Correlation, Village Bank Hype Analysis, Village Bank Volatility, Village Bank History as well as Village Bank Performance. Note that the Village Bank And information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Village Bank's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

Complementary Tools for Village Stock analysis

When running Village Bank And price analysis, check to measure Village Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Village Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Village Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Village Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Village Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Village Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Village Bank's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Village Bank. If investors know Village will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Village Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.09) 
Market Capitalization
82.3 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06) 
Return On Assets
0.0113
Return On Equity
0.1334
The market value of Village Bank And is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Village that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Village Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Village Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Village Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Village Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Village Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Village Bank value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Village Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.