Village Bank And Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 52.61
| VBFC Stock | USD 42.35 0.17 0.40% |
Village |
Village Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 52.61
The tendency of Village Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 52.61 after 90 days |
| 42.35 | 90 days | 52.61 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Village Bank to stay under $ 52.61 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Village Bank and probability density function shows the probability of Village Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Village Bank price to stay between its current price of $ 42.35 and $ 52.61 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.01 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Village Bank has a beta of 0.0862. This entails as returns on the market go up, Village Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Village Bank and will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Village Bank and has an alpha of 0.0832, implying that it can generate a 0.0832 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Village Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Village Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Village Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Village Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Village Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Village Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Village Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Village Bank and, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Village Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Village Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Village Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Village Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Village Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| On 15th of March 2024 Village Bank paid $ 0.18 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Village Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Village Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Village Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Village Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -59.5 M |
Village Bank Technical Analysis
Village Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Village Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Village Bank and. In general, you should focus on analyzing Village Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Village Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Village Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Village Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Village Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Village Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Village Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Village Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Village Bank is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| On 15th of March 2024 Village Bank paid $ 0.18 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Check out Village Bank Backtesting, Village Bank Valuation, Village Bank Correlation, Village Bank Hype Analysis, Village Bank Volatility, Village Bank History as well as Village Bank Performance. Note that the Village Bank information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Village Bank's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Complementary Tools for Village Stock analysis
When running Village Bank's price analysis, check to measure Village Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Village Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Village Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Village Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Village Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Village Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Village Bank's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Village Bank. If investors know Village will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Village Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Earnings Share 1.29 | Revenue Per Share 16.96 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets 0.0026 |
The market value of Village Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Village that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Village Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Village Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Village Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Village Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Village Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Village Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Village Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.