VeChain Odds of Future Crypto Coin Price Finishing Under 0.0318

VET Crypto  USD 0.04  0.0006  1.35%   
VeChain's future price is the expected price of VeChain instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VeChain performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VeChain Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VeChain Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, VeChain Volatility, VeChain History as well as VeChain Performance.
  
Please specify VeChain's target price for which you would like VeChain odds to be computed.

VeChain Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0318

The tendency of VeChain Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.03  or more in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.03 
about 23.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VeChain to drop to $ 0.03  or more in 90 days from now is about 23.88 (This VeChain probability density function shows the probability of VeChain Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VeChain price to stay between $ 0.03  and its current price of $0.0437 at the end of the 90-day period is about 53.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VeChain has a beta of -1.85. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding VeChain are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, VeChain is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally VeChain has an alpha of 0.6414, implying that it can generate a 0.64 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   VeChain Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VeChain

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VeChain. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VeChain's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.046.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.036.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00090.056.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.040.040.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VeChain. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VeChain's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VeChain's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in VeChain.

VeChain Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VeChain is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VeChain's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VeChain, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VeChain within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.64
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-1.85
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

VeChain Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VeChain for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VeChain can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VeChain had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
VeChain has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency
Latest headline from news.google.com: Bitcoin falls below 70,000 in overnight sell-off - CNBC

VeChain Technical Analysis

VeChain's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VeChain Crypto Coin technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VeChain. In general, you should focus on analyzing VeChain Crypto Coin price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VeChain Predictive Forecast Models

VeChain's time-series forecasting models is one of many VeChain's crypto coin analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VeChain's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the crypto coin market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VeChain

Checking the ongoing alerts about VeChain for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VeChain help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VeChain had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
VeChain has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency
Latest headline from news.google.com: Bitcoin falls below 70,000 in overnight sell-off - CNBC
When determining whether VeChain offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of VeChain's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vechain Crypto.
Check out VeChain Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VeChain Correlation, Cryptocurrency Center, VeChain Volatility, VeChain History as well as VeChain Performance.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.

Complementary Tools for VeChain Crypto Coin analysis

When running VeChain's price analysis, check to measure VeChain's coin volatility and technical momentum indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VeChain is operating at the current time. Most of VeChain's value examination focuses on studying past and present price actions to predict the probability of VeChain's future price movements. You can analyze the coin against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VeChain's coin price. Additionally, you may evaluate how adding VeChain to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between VeChain's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine VeChain value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, VeChain's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.